St Louis Cardinals (61-78) vs. Atlanta Braves (90-48)
As MLB season nears its conclusion, St. Louis Cardinals (61-78) take on Atlanta Braves (90-48) at 7:20 PM ET in Truist Park on September 7, 2023. Fans and bettors alike should find plenty of intrigue within this matchup; with one team boasting one of the league’s best records while trying to make the best out of an often trying season for both sides. Those seeking MLB betting picks may benefit from this article offering insight into team dynamics, starting pitchers, and betting trends among others.
St. Louis Cardinals have experienced an underwhelming season this year, as evidenced by their unimpressive 61-78 record. Batting at just an average of 0.254, they have only managed to score 625 runs from 1195 hits and 190 homers; not enough to keep pace in contention with other teams. Their pitching staff has often struggled to effectively close down games due to an ERA of 4.71 and WHIP of 1.45; something their record doesn’t reflect.
Atlanta Braves have had an exceptional season, boasting an outstanding 90-48 win-loss record and boasting an electric offense boasting a batting average of 0.275 and 795 runs, thanks to 263 homers. Furthermore, their pitching staff complements them perfectly with an ERA of 3.83 and WHIP of 1.26; their strong performances both offensively and pitching wise make this team one to watch out for!
St Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves Game Info
|When:||Thursday, September 7, 2023 at 7:20 PM ET|
Adam Wainwright (3-10, 8.10 ERA) vs. Max Fried (6-1, 2.52 ERA)
Adam Wainwright of the St. Louis Cardinals finds himself in a tough spot this season. With a disappointing 3-10 W-L record and a sky-high ERA of 8.1, it’s evident that he has struggled to find his form. His WHIP stands at an undesirable 1.98, signaling that he’s allowing far too many hitters to get on base. Over 83.1 innings pitched, he’s conceded 132 hits and 16 home runs, making him a liability when it comes to shutting down the opposition. While he has always been a warrior for the Cardinals, this season has certainly been a low point in his career.
On the opposite end of the spectrum, the Braves’ starting pitcher, Max Fried, is having an excellent season. His impressive 6-1 win-loss record speaks for itself, but his ERA of 2.52 and WHIP of 1.15 are also indicative of his consistency and effectiveness on the mound. Over 60.2 innings, he has only given up 57 hits and 5 home runs, and with 63 strikeouts against just 13 walks, he has demonstrated superior control and the ability to get crucial outs. When comparing these two pitchers, it becomes quite clear that Fried not only has the statistical edge but also carries the momentum of recent performances into this matchup.
MLB Odds/Point Spread: St Louis Cardinals +262, Total Odds: 10.5
Current betting odds offer some tempting opportunities for bettors. The St. Louis Cardinals currently boast an attractive +1.5 Spread and odds of +130, making their 5-2 record against the spread in their last seven games all the more appealing to bettors. However, they have posted only 5-11 wins over the Atlanta Braves over their last 16 contests – making this bet risky. Conversely, Atlanta Braves are considered favorites with odds of -150 and an expected spread of -1.5 on betting lines of +150. Given their impressive 13-5 home record since August and Max Fried’s strong pitching performance, taking the Braves against the spread seems like the safer bet. The Total is set at 10.5, and with both teams showing trends favoring an Over, taking an OVER at +100 might be wise for St Louis Cardinals fans. But given Atlanta Braves pitcher’s recent unfavorable trends against St. Louis when playing home against them may make taking Under 10.5 at -120 an excellent pick.
St Louis Cardinals Betting Trends
The Cardinals’ recent trends offer some intriguing betting opportunities. Four out of their last five games saw the total go OVER, making a 10.5 over (+100) an attractive bet. Although the team went 5-2 against their own opponent (the Braves), their record against them stands at just 5-11!
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Braves have seen four of their last six games go OVER and six out of eight against the Cardinals go OVER the total, which shows they seem to have their home advantage under control with an outstanding 13-5 SU record in 18 home games against them.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves 9/7/2023 Betting Picks
Based on overall season performance, betting trends, and starting pitcher performances alone, the Braves appear to be heavily favored over their opponent in this MLB Baseball Analysis. Max Fried has demonstrated strong performances against Adam Wainwright’s poor season; their recent form shows no indication of an upset happening against them.
My recommendation would be to bet on Atlanta Braves’ Spread (-150) and consider an Under Total of 10.5 for this game given both teams’ recent UNDER trends when playing against each other (Cardinals or Braves).
Free Pick and Prediction: Atlanta Braves 6, St. Louis Cardinals 3