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NFL Week 16 Betting Prediction: Saints vs. Rams 12/21/2023

New Orleans Saints (7-7) vs. Los Angeles Rams (7-7)

As we approach the climactic moments of the NFL season, the spotlight shines on the Week 16 clash between the New Orleans Saints and the Los Angeles Rams, both holding a 7-7 record. This game, scheduled for Thursday, is pivotal for each team’s playoff aspirations. Held at the impressive SoFi Stadium, the matchup promises high stakes and intense competition, ideal for those looking for NFL free picks today.

The Saints have seen impressive performances from both their rushing and receiving units this season. Alvin Kamara has been at the center of their ground game, making 161 attempts, 630 yards, and five touchdowns from 11 games on 161 attempts; Chris Olave, their wide receiver stands out with 72 receptions for 918 receiving yards and four touchdowns in 13 games – an average of 70.6 receiving yards per game with his ability to create plays after catch being key to their offense.

Los Angeles Rams offensive prowess is equally impressive. Kyren Williams, their dynamic running back, has amassed 953 rushing yards and 8 touchdowns in 10 games thanks to his breakaway speed and elusiveness. Puka Nacua has been an absolute game-changer at receiver with 87 receptions totalling 1,163 yards for 4 touchdowns over 14 games at 83.1 average receiving yards per game average with the ability to pull off big plays that has proven key for their team success.


New Orleans Saints vs. Los Angeles Rams Game Info

When: Thursday, December 21, 2023 at 8:15 PM ET
Where: SoFi Stadium
Stream: NFL Game Pass


Derek Carr QB vs. Matthew Stafford QB

Derek Carr has led the Saints with steady performance this season as quarterback. Over 14 games he completed 302 out of 448 passing attempts (67.4% completion rate) for 3,098 yards with 16 touchdowns thrown for. His passer rating of 92.5, even with 7 interceptions and 26 sacks against him, attests to his resilience and ability to make key plays under pressure.

Matthew Stafford has been an integral figure in their offense. Through 13 games, he completed 278 of 453 passes (61.4% completion rate). He amassed 3,320 yards for 21, touchdown passes while still posting an outstanding passer rating of 90.9 (despite 9 interceptions and 25 sacks). These accomplishments speak to Matthew’s leadership ability during crucial moments.


NFL Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles Rams -210, Total Odds: 44.5

The current betting odds favor the Rams with a -210 moneyline and a -4 point spread, indicating a slight edge over the Saints. The total odds set at 44.5, with both over and under at -110, suggest an expectation of a moderately scoring game.


New Orleans Saints Betting Trends

The Saints have gone 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 and the under has hit in 16 of their last 20. Also, the under is 10-2 in their last 12 road contests. With New Orleans averaging under 20 points per game on the road, this trends suggest another low-scoring Saints’ effort.


Los Angeles Rams Betting Trends

The Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games against the Saints. Also, LA is 9-3 straight up in their last 12 matchups against the NFC South. These trends indicate the Rams should comfortably cover as home favorites.


New Orleans Saints vs. Los Angeles Rams 12/21/23 Betting Picks

Considering the data and trends, the Rams appear to have the upper hand, especially given their home-field advantage and recent ATS success. The Saints will need to overcome their road game hurdles to stand a chance. The key battle will be between the Saints’ offense and the Rams’ defense, particularly in controlling the pace and flow of the game.

In terms of picks, the Rams seem to be a safer bet, especially with their recent form and the Saints’ road game struggles. Prop bets on individual player performances, like rushing yards for Kamara or receiving yards for Nacua, could be intriguing. The total points leaning towards UNDER seems likely, given both teams’ trends.

The Rams’ consistent performance, especially at home, coupled with the Saints’ road woes, makes them the top pick in this matchup. This game, a blend of strategy and talent, promises to be a highlight for those engaged in top online betting.


Free Pick and Prediction: Los Angeles Rams 25, New Orleans Saints 18

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