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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins 6/22/2023 Expert Picks, Tips and Odds

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins 6/22/2023 Expert Picks, Tips and Odds

The Pittsburgh Pirates will go against the Miami Marlins in MLB action in LoanDepot Park, FL, on Thursday, June 22, 2023, at 6:40 PM ET. The Pittsburgh Pirates’ season record dropped to 34-39 after their defeat by the Chicago Cubs on Wednesday. The Buccaneers suffered their ninth straight loss after being swept in a consecutive three-game series, losing six games to the Chicago Cubs and three to the Milwaukee Brewers. There were only 20 runs scored by the Pirates in those nine games. They are slashing.211/.296/.340 with 11 home runs in 418 at-bats over the last few weeks. The Bucs’ pitching staff also had trouble with a 5.92 ERA, 1.62 WHIP, and a.277 batting average during the last 13 games (2-11 record).

On Thursday, Mitch Keller will be on the mound for the Pirates. In 15 starts (92 innings pitched) this year, the 27-year-old right-hander is 8-3 with a 3.62 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, and a 108/26 K/BB ratio. Keller made five starts in his last, going 3-2 with a 6.14 ERA and.837 OPS against. In a 5-0 defeat against the Milwaukee Brewers on Saturday, Keller was given the loss after pitching five innings and allowing four earned runs on five hits and three walks.

A total of 64 appearances in high-leverage situations and 62 occasions with runners on base were made by Pirates pitchers. The relievers have 34 holds overall this season, which ranks 25th in the league. The Pirates bullpen entered the game in 63 save situations with a 67.9% save percentage. Over the course of the season, they made 19 saves, but they missed nine of their 28 opportunities to win the game. The bullpen pitchers gave up 97 runs in the year, and 33.0% reached base. This year, the Pirates sent 222 relievers to the mound.

  • The total went UNDER in four of Pittsburgh’s last five matches.
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates are 0-9 SU in their last nine matches.
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates are 1-4 SU in their last five matches against Miami.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins 6/22/2023 Expert Picks, Tips and Odds

The Miami Marlins, 42-33, return from a 6-3 loss to the Toronto Blue Jays on Wednesday. In the first game of a three-game series in Miami on Monday, the Marlins thrashed the Jays 11-0 to extend their unbeaten streak to five matches. Last Tuesday, they lost 2-0, and on Thursday, they faced Kevin Gausman in a challenging game, failing to recover. Miami is 13-6 in June and has 601 at-bats, hitting 263/.328/.396 with 15 homers. This month, the Marlins’ pitching staff performed admirably, compiling a 3.33 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, and a.226 batting average against.

The 25-year-old left-hander Braxton Garrett will start on Thursday. In 13 starts and one bullpen appearance (69.2 IP), he has a 3-2 record, a 3.88 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a 77/14 K/BB ratio in 2023. Garrett performed admirably over his previous seven starts, going 2-0 while compiling impressive stats, including a 2.13 ERA, a 2.44 FIP, and a.543 opposing OPS. Braxton won a game against the Washington Nationals last Saturday, 5-2. In six innings, he struck out eight batters while giving up just one earned run on four hits and a walk.

Miami used relievers to pitch in 33 save opportunities, and they’ve come away with 22 saves. They sent 255 relievers to the mound this season and are now placed 13th in MLB with a save percentage of 66.7%. Their bullpen pitchers took the mound 76 times with runners on base and 97 times in high-leverage situations. Out of 116 inherited runners, Miami bullpen pitchers have aninherited score percentage of 31.0%. The Marlins now have 81 save opportunities, 48 holds, and 11 missed saves.

  • The Miami Marlins are 13-5 SU in their last 18 matches.
  • The Miami Marlins are 7-2 SU in their last nine matches at home.
  • The Miami Marlins are 4-8 SU in their last 12 matches at home against Pittsburgh.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins The MLB pick for this game is the Miami Marlins. During their losing run, the Pirates had a 112 wRC+ versus southpaws and a 37 wRC+ against righties. Braxton Garrett will have to slow down a little if the Buccaneers manage to get to him, but the Marlins still have a couple of strong right-handers in their bullpen. Through 28.2 innings of work over the past 10 days, Miami’s bullpen has produced a 2.83 ERA and a 3.35 FIP. On the other hand, the Pirates’ relievers pitched 25.2 innings in that time while recording a catastrophic 9.82 ERA and 5.85 FIP. Despite Mitch Keller’s recent troubles, the Marlins’ offense will have a difficult assignment to perform well against him, and it’s unlikely that Pittsburgh’s bullpen will complete the task. The Miami Marlins will win by a predicted score of 6-3.

MLB Starting Time: 6:40 PM ET

Location: loanDepot Park, FL

Date: Thursday, June 22, 2023

TV: Bally Sports Florida

MLB Odds: Pittsburgh Pirates +125

MLB Totals: 7.5


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