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MLB Betting Prediction: New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles 5/1/2024

New York Yankees (19-10) vs. Baltimore Orioles (17-10)

The New York Yankees are set to face off against the Baltimore Orioles in what promises to be a thrilling encounter at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. With the Yankees holding a slight edge in the standings, this matchup on Wednesday, May 1, 2024, could prove pivotal in their season trajectories. Both teams enter the game with similar recent form, sporting 3-2 records in their last five games. Fans and bettors alike will be closely watching this game, making it a significant event for MLB picks and predictions.

The Yankees has a .245 batting average and a 3.01 ERA that proved to be solid pitching output. However, their batting statistics have been more or less satisfactory, as the team has hit 34 home runs in total. Moreover, the fact that the team’s mark on the road (7-8) against the spread indicates that some unevenness might exist in covering the wager spread in away matches. Their runs-scoring consistency and .217 batting average confinement by their pitchers make them hard to beat by all opponents.

On the other hand, the Orioles are just a bit ahead with .257 for their batting average and with 41 home runs, they have outslugged the Yankees with a slightly higher slugging percentage of .456. Despite this, their pitchers have a bit higher ERA of 3.75, but still an impressive WHIP of 1.17. The Orioles, to some extent, have shown higher consistency in terms of the spread when playing away games than the Yankees. It seems that it may provide the Orioles with a stronger belief to play at their home ground.


New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Game Info

When:Wednesday, May 1, 2024 at 6:35 PM ET
Where:Oriole Park at Camden Yards


Luis Gil (1-1, 4.01 ERA) vs. Corbin Burnes (3-0, 2.55 ERA)

Luis Gil has a season marked by a 4.01 ERA, and 1.34 WHIP in 24.2 innings pitched. His strikeouts are great at 35 and that’s one of the reasons why Orioles hitters may struggle against him. On the other hand, the 19 walks show a lack of control, something the Orioles may be able to exploit. His capacity to bow these walks and prevent dingers will play a big role in a stadium that favors the hitters.

Corbin Burnes is another great performer with a 3-0 record and an equally incredible 2.55 ERA statistic. His numbers eloquently demonstrates his outstanding control reflected in the superb WHIP of 0.93 and an excellent balance of strikeouts to walks (35 strikeouts with only 8 walks). Burnes’ effectiveness and knockdown hits reduction will be invaluable in this matchup against the Yankees’ lineup, which can score runs but is inconsistent.


MLB Odds/Point Spread: TBD, Total Odds: TBD

As betting lines are still to be determined, keeping an eye on the opening odds will provide better insights. Burnes’ strong start to the season might tilt the odds slightly in favor of the Orioles, especially with home-field advantage.


New York Yankees Betting Trends

The Yankees have failed to reach the closing line in their previous away games and also the season’s record against the spread indicated something about their reluctance at being in a favorable position.


Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Orioles have displayed a level of consistency at home while most of their games are OVER totals, suggesting an impact of their aggressive strategy in hitting and pitching, guiding this match with a pitcher like Gil who has shown some variable results.


New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles 5/1/24 Betting Picks

Considering both teams’ current form and stats, this game could be closely contested with a slight edge to the Orioles due to their offensive power and Burnes’ pitching form. Watching the starting pitchers’ duel will be key, with Burnes likely providing more stability.

For bettors looking for action, focusing on the Orioles to cover the spread might be the smarter bet, especially with their performance at home. Prop bets on strikeouts could be interesting, particularly with Burnes at the mound. For those looking to engage in the game via the best live betting website, watching live could provide opportunities to bet on in-game shifts, especially around bullpen usage which could be pivotal in this matchup.


Free Pick and Prediction: Baltimore Orioles 5, New York Yankees 3

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