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New York Mets vs San Diego Padres  7/7/2023 Game Analysis, Picks and Previews

New York Mets vs San Diego Padres  7/7/2023 Game Analysis, Picks and Previews

On Friday, the New York Mets (40-46) will play the San Diego Padres (41-46) at Petco Park. On the money line for this game, the Padres are pegged at -135, while the Mets are at +115. There will be eight in all. Justin Verlander and Yu Darvish will start the match.

The Mets combined 109 home runs and 114 doubles. With 287 walks and a slugging percentage 403, New York has struck out 669 times. With 4.5 runs scored per game, the New York Mets are the 16th-highest-scoring team in MLB. They have a 0.239 batting average with 682 base hits and 375 runs batted in thus far this season. They have 386 runs scored and an on-base percentage of 0.318.

Their pitching staff’s strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.36, and their WHIP is 1.36. The Mets’ pitchers were ranked 17th in MLB, allowing 394 runs total and 115 home runs. The 705 base hits (8.5 per nine innings) that New York gave up were combined with 371 earned runs. The Mets’ staff has a team-made run average of 4.46, ranks 21st in MLB, and has struck out 741 batters. They have faced 314 walks this season, and their FIP is 4.75.

The Mets bullpen relievers entered the game 79 times with runners on base and made 81 outings in high-stakes situations. With 56 holds this season, the bullpen is seventh in MLB.

Pitchers in the Mets’ bullpen had 90 chances to save games for a save percentage of 66.7%. They concluded the season with 22 saves after having 11 of 33 opportunities to get a save. Bullpen relievers inherited 119 runners this year, and 28.6% reached the plate. The Mets used 276 relievers throughout the season.

New York Mets vs San Diego Padres  7/7/2023 Game Analysis, Picks and Previews

San Diego has hit 369 runs this season, including 105 home runs. They have walked 364 times, struck out 364, and driven in 387 runs. The team’s 0.325 OBP and.235 batting average thus far this season are due to the San Diego Padres. With 4.45 runs scored per game and a team slugging percentage of 0.401, the Padres are ranked 18th in the league in terms of run creation. They are currently ranked 17th in MLB with 673 hits in 748 at-bats.

The Padres’ pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.249 and a FIP of 4.21 this season. With 744 strikeouts compared to 280 bases on balls, this team’s strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.70. They are seventh in the league with 683 hits allowed as a pitching staff. With 4.11 runs allowed per nine innings, they are sixth in MLB and have given up 96 home runs. The San Diego pitching staff has allowed 352 runs this season with a team ERA of 3.82 (327 earned runs allowed).

Out of 89 save opportunities, the Padres have accumulated 50 holds and 17 unsuccessful saves. San Diego’s bullpen relievers, who entered the game on 39 occasions, made 22 saves. 

Their bullpen relievers have entered the game 88 times in high-pressure situations and 63 times with runners on base. Pitchers in San Diego’s bullpen had an inherited scoring rate of 37.6% out of 101 inherited base runners. This season, they have used 272 relievers, placing them 23rd in the league in terms of save percentage (56.4%).

The San Diego Padres have the second-best fielding percentage in major league baseball (.989) and have turned 72 double plays. The Padres recorded 2,315 putouts, 781 assists, 34 errors, and 2,315 total putouts this season. The Padres’ 70.6% defensive efficiency in 6,945 on-field innings puts them fourth in the majors.

Throughout his MLB career, Darvish has thrown 1,568 innings and struck out 1,873 hitters while allowing 1,268 hits. He has given up 622 earned runs overall, a WHIP of 1.130, and a FIP of 3.5. He has faced 6,435 batters in his MLB career and has a K/BB ratio 3.72. Darvish has a 100-81 career win-loss record and a 3.57 ERA. Additionally, he allows 7.3 hits per nine innings.

New York Mets vs San Diego Padres. The MLB pick for this game is the San Diego Padres. It makes sense to take the under in this game. Two of the most popular pitchers in the majors, Darvish and Verlander, can limit scoring by keeping runners off the bases. Opt for the Under at 8. The San Diego Padres will triumph, the Mets will win, and the score won’t exceed 3-2.

MLB Starting Time: 9:40 PM (EDT)

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

Date: Friday, July 7, 2023


MLB Odds: San Diego Padres -120

MLB Totals: 8.0


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