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New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves 8/22/2023 Tips, Odds and Analysis

Mets (58-67) vs Braves (80-43)

New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves 8/22/2023 — The NY Mets display resilience, refusing to yield easily. After consecutive victories against Pittsburgh and St. Louis, they ignited a lack of spark in the season’s early stages. New York maintains a .238 batting average (25th), scores an average of 4.42 runs per game (17th), and holds a .721 OPS (19th). Their standing in home runs (161) is 10th, while their base stealers (88) rank 16th. The pitching staff maintains a 4.49 ERA (20th), and a 1.38 WHIP (17th), and has achieved 41 quality starts. 

In contrast, Atlanta is cruising ahead, boasting a 13.5-game lead over Philadelphia in the NL East. Atlanta’s prowess is evident with a .274 batting average, a .843 OPS, and an impressive 5.81 runs per game. They secured seventh place in stolen bases (101) and led the league with 235 home runs. Their pitching staff excels with 46 quality starts, contributing to a fourth-ranking 3.80 ERA and a twelfth-ranking 1.27 WHIP, establishing them as formidable contenders for the World Series in Atlanta.

New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Game Info

Time: 7:20 PM ET.

Date: Tuesday, August 22, 2023

Venue: Truist Park in Atlanta, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

New York Mets SP Tylor Megill (7-6, ERA: 5.53) and Atlanta Braves SP Bryce Elder (9-4, ERA: 3.46)

Taking the mound for the visiting team on Tuesday will be Megill. In his latest encounter against the Pirates, he secured a victory by allowing two runs and five hits across five innings. However, his performance on August 11 versus the Braves was less impressive, conceding six runs (five earned) and 9 hits over 5.1 innings. A previous meeting with the Braves on May 1 made progress as he allowed three runs on four hits in 5.2 innings.

Meanwhile, at Truist Park, Elder will assume the role of starting pitcher for the home team. The rookie right-hander previously faced the Mets on June 6, where he displayed his capabilities by holding them to four runs, four hits, two home runs, and accumulating 8 strikeouts over 6 innings. In his most recent start, he rebounded from subpar performances, impressively limiting New York (AL) to just one run over seven innings.

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta Braves -230, Total Odds: 10.5

Atlanta boasts the finest run line record at 23-9 against NL East rivals and the third-highest run line winning percentage (50.8%) as favorites at home. In contrast, this season, New York has the lowest run-line winning percentage (35.3%) when playing as road underdogs. Betting on the Braves to outperform the resurgent Mets on Tuesday and cover the run line seems prudent. Megill, an underperforming starter, has struggled since late May, yielding four or more runs in six of his last nine outings. Furthermore, he has grappled with command issues, evident from his seven consecutive starts with four-plus walks. Having suffered defeat at the hands of the Braves, anticipate a recurrence. 

Elder’s recent standout performance (allowing just one hit over seven innings) could mark a pivotal moment. He is likely to outperform Megill and, if he manages to keep the Mets off the bases, can confidently hand the game over to the Braves’ superior bullpen – ranked second in MLB for lowest ERA and WHIP.

New York Mets Betting Trends

  • The NY Mets are 3-12 SU in their last 15 matches with the Braves.
  • The New York Mets are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games on the road.
  • The Mets are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games on the road against Atlanta.
  • The total went OVER in 5 of the NY Mets’ last 6 games played on a Tuesday.

Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

  • The total went OVER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 7 outings with the Mets.
  • The Atlanta Braves are 11-3 SU in their last 14 games at home.
  • Atlanta is 7-1 SU in their last 8 games at home against the New York Mets.
  • The total went OVER in 13 of Atlanta’s last 18 games with an opponent in the NL.

New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves: The Atlanta Braves will defeat the New York Mets on Tuesday, but the play here is OVER. The OVER has cashed in four of New York’s last six versus Atlanta and in 12 of Atlanta’s last 17 versus an opponent from the National League. New York starter Tylor Megill was hit hard last time out versus Atlanta on August 11, allowing six runs across 5 ⅓ innings, while Atlanta starter Bryce Elder has allowed 12 runs across the last 16 ⅓ innings. 

Free Pick and Prediction: Atlanta Braves will win 8-3.


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