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NFL Week 11 Betting Prediction: New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills 11/19/2023

New York Jets (4-5) vs. Buffalo Bills (5-5)

As Week 11 of the NFL season draws nearer, attention has shifted toward the matchup between the New York Jets and Buffalo Bills. With each side currently sitting at 5-5, fans and bettors alike are looking forward to this clash which serves both as divisional bragging rights as well as being vitally important for playoff contention. Fans and bettors alike are keenly keeping tabs on the latest NFL picks to gauge its outcome.

The New York Jets have displayed mixed performances this season. Breece Hall and Garrett Wilson have led their rushing and receiving departments admirably; each contributing an average of 57.9 rushing yards per game while averaging an impressive 4.9 yards per rush attempt; Hall’s agility and ability to break long runs have proven pivotal for several games while Wilson has led all receivers with 642 reception yards, an average of 11.7 yards per reception and consistently making plays that lead to first downs – providing the offensive unit with much-needed support.

Buffalo Bills represent a formidable challenge to opposing teams in terms of both rushing and receiving gameplay. Quarterback Josh Allen has been instrumental to their rushing offense, while James Cook has provided reliable rushing efforts with 506 yards at 4.7 yards per attempt and an efficient average yards-per-attempt rate. On offense Stefon Diggs has been incredible: with 834 receiving yards and seven touchdowns to his name alone; Diggs’ route running precision and hands reliability have made him Allen’s primary target and played an essential part in Buffalo’s offensive strategy.

 

New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills Game Info

When:Sunday, November 19, 2023 at 4:25 PM ET
Where:Highmark Stadium
TV:CBS
Stream:NFL Game Pass

 

Zach Wilson QB vs. Josh Allen QB

Zach Wilson has had an up and down season. With only 59.8% completion rate and more interceptions (6) than touchdowns (5), Wilson has experienced his share of difficulties; yet his ability to extend plays using mobility keeps the Jets’ offense unpredictable and occasionally potent.

On the contrary, Josh Allen has been impressive for the Bills. His 71.3% completion rate, 2423 passing yards and 18 touchdowns to 9 interceptions ratio are all hallmarks of success as an efficient and effective leader on the field. Furthermore, Allen’s dual-threat capability – indicated by his yards per pass attempt (7.5) and passer rating (99.56) numbers – make him an unparalleled threat to any defense in which they face him.

 

NFL Odds/Point Spread: Buffalo Bills -280, Total Odds: 40.5

Betting odds favor Buffalo with a moneyline odds of -280 suggesting their strong chances of victory, while their spread against New York (-6.5) suggests an evenly competitive matchup despite Buffalo having the edge. Meanwhile, 40.5 marks an expected low-scoring affair due to strong defensive play from both teams and recent UNDER trends for each one.

 

New York Jets Betting Trends

The Jets have struggled in their most recent 15 games, posting only 4-11 as measured against their opponent (SU) while going 4-2 against the spread (ATS) against Buffalo. While their road record remains concerning (2-7 SU in their last 9 away games), which may play an impactful role in this matchup.

 

Buffalo Bills Betting Trends

Buffalo, despite their balanced team, haven’t fared too well against the spread, posting a subpar 0-6 record over their last six games (although 13-6 on their home turf has provided them with evidence of victory). Furthermore, five out of their last six matches featured under trends that suggested their games may have been more defensive or lower scoring than expected.

 

New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills 11/19/23 Betting Picks

Based on recent trends and performances, this game appears to favor the Bills due to their home field advantage at Highmark Stadium. While Wilson may show promise, his inconsistency makes them riskier picks. Allen should give them an edge in this matchup.

Prop bettors or over/under players should note the recent trend of total scores coming in under for both teams, particularly recent matches between Buffalo Bills and Toronto FC, which favor an under. Best betting websites also align with this analysis by favoring Buffalo over Toronto, though expecting an even game.

 

Free Pick and Prediction: Buffalo Bills 24, New York Jets 17

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