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New York Jets at Las Vegas Raiders 11/12/23 NFL Week 10 Odds, Picks, and Predictions

New York Jets (4-3) vs. Las Vegas Raiders (4-5)

As the NFL season progresses, the anticipation for each matchup escalates, particularly when teams with close standings collide. This holds true for the upcoming Week 10 confrontation, where the New York Jets, holding a 4-3 record, are set to meet the Las Vegas Raiders, who are just slightly behind with a 4-5 standing. This game promises to be a riveting spectacle, as the Jets hope to solidify their position over .500, while the Raiders aim to even out their record. The encounter is scheduled to unfold at the impressive Allegiant Stadium, adding another layer of excitement for fans scouring the daily NFL free picks.

The Jets’ offensive strategy heavily relies on their rushing and receiving units. Breece Hall, their formidable running back, has been making significant strides this season, with an impressive 5.7 yards per rush attempt, contributing to the team’s rushing dynamics. His performance has yielded four 20+ yards rushing plays and two touchdowns, translating to an average of 63.3 rushing yards per game. In the air, rookie Garrett Wilson has been a revelation at wide receiver. With 39 receptions for 469 yards, Wilson has provided the Jets with critical yardage, averaging 12 yards per reception and racking up 20 receiving first downs, establishing himself as a reliable target in the passing game.

On the other side, the Las Vegas Raiders have shown variability in their offensive output. Quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo’s integration into the team has been met with mixed results, given his 65.5% completion rate and 78.1 passer rating. However, it’s the rushing vigor from Josh Jacobs that stands as the cornerstone of the Raiders’ offense. Jacobs has secured five rushing touchdowns over nine games, with an average of 56.2 rushing yards per game. In terms of receiving, Davante Adams has been a standout, pulling in 51 catches for 573 yards, with a substantial 156 yards coming after the catch. This balanced offensive threat will be crucial as they face the Jets’ defense.


New York Jets vs. Las Vegas Raiders Game Info

When: Sunday, November 12, 2023 at 8:20PM ET
Where: Allegiant Stadium
Stream: NFL Game Pass


Zach Wilson QB vs. Jimmy Garoppolo QB

The quarterback matchup presents an intriguing contrast in styles and experience. Zach Wilson, the Jets’ signal-caller, has shown resilience in his 7 games, amassing 1337 passing yards and a modest 74.3 passer rating. Despite his struggles with consistency, Wilson has shown flashes of the talent that made him a high draft pick. He will need to utilize his agility and arm strength to improve upon his 58.3% completion percentage and even out the touchdown-interception ratio.

Jimmy Garoppolo of the Raiders has brought a seasoned presence to the quarterback position. With six games under his belt this season, Garoppolo has completed 65.5% of his passes, throwing for seven touchdowns. His challenge lies in reducing turnovers, as evidenced by the nine interceptions to date. Garoppolo’s experience could prove pivotal in navigating the Jets’ defensive schemes.


NFL Odds/Point Spread: New York Jets -115, Total Odds: 38.5 

As the game approaches, betting lines have the New York Jets as the slightest of favorites on the moneyline at -115, with a narrow point spread of -0.5 at -112. The over/under is set conservatively at 38.5, with odds leaning slightly towards the under at -118. These odds suggest a close, potentially low-scoring affair, reflective of the defensive capabilities of both teams and the offensive inconsistencies they have each displayed.


New York Jets Betting Trends

The Jets have displayed a trend towards lower-scoring games, with the total going UNDER in 10 of their last 13 games. This trend aligns with their on-field performances, which have struggled to consistently put up high numbers. With a 4-10 record in their last 14 games, the Jets have shown a vulnerability that bettors may weigh heavily, especially given their 2-6 record in recent road games. However, when traveling to face Las Vegas, the Jets have historically trended OVER, suggesting that their offense finds more rhythm away against the Raiders.


Las Vegas Raiders Betting Trends

The Las Vegas Raiders’ betting trends mirror those of the Jets to an extent, with the total going UNDER in six of their last seven games. This indicates a robust defense but also an offense that has yet to fire on all cylinders. Despite this, the Raiders have seen the total go OVER in six of their last eight games against the Jets, implying that this particular matchup could defy their general trend. A 2-5 record against the spread (ATS) in their last seven games against AFC teams suggests that the Raiders have underperformed against similar-caliber competition.


New York Jets vs. Las Vegas Raiders 11/12/23 Betting Picks

When considering the culmination of the data, trends, and individual performances, this matchup presents as a tightly contested battle. The Jets’ slight favor in the odds reflects their marginal statistical edge, but the Raiders’ home advantage at Allegiant Stadium could be a significant equalizer. Given both teams’ trends, the under on the total points seems a prudent pick, with defensive prowess likely to be on display.

Determining the better pick between these two closely matched sides isn’t straightforward, as both have shown inconsistency. However, considering the Jets’ recent form and the Raiders’ struggle to cover spreads against AFC opponents, leaning towards the Jets to cover the narrow spread might be favorable. In terms of prop bets, monitoring the performance of key rushers and receivers such as Breece Hall and Davante Adams could provide value. For those looking to engage with the best bookie software, it’s essential to consider these nuanced analyses and trends for informed wagering.


Free Pick and Prediction: New York Jets 20, Las Vegas Raiders 17

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