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New Orleans Saints vs. Green Bay Packers 09/24/23 NFL Week 3 Analysis, Tips, and Predictions

New Orleans Saints (2-0) vs. Green Bay Packers (1-1)

At Lambeau Field on September 21st, in an eagerly anticipated Week 3 matchup, the New Orleans Saints (3-0) and Green Bay Packers (1-1) will face off for one of the week’s most anticipated NFL matches of 2023. Due to close spreads and intriguing betting angles, this matchup has garnered considerable buzz across top betting websites.

Running Back Jamaal Williams and Wide Receiver Chris Olave have been key contributors to the Saints early success. Williams racked up 74 rushing yards over two games for New Orleans while Olave caught 14 passes for an astounding 198 receiving yards total.

On the Green Bay Packers side, Quarterback Jordan Love and Running Back AJ Dillon have made significant contributions. Dillon tallied 74 rushing yards over two games while Love has amassed 396 passing yards and six touchdown passes, showing his strength offensively.


New Orleans Saints vs. Green Bay Packers Game Info

When: Sunday, September 24, 2023, at 1:00 PM ET
Where: Lambeau Field
Stream: NFL Game Pass


Derek Carr QB vs. Jordan Love QB

Derek Carr, the Saints’ signal-caller, has been a model of consistency early in the season. With a completion rate of 63.8% and a total of 533 passing yards, he’s been effective in orchestrating the offense. However, his touchdown-to-interception ratio of 1:2 indicates there’s room for growth. Typically a pocket passer, Carr’s decision-making skills are reliable but the eight sacks he’s endured, resulting in a loss of 52 yards, signal some vulnerabilities when under pressure.

On the opposite side, Packers‘ quarterback Jordan Love has kicked off the season on a high note, achieving an impressive passer rating of 118.8. Despite completing just 55.8% of his throws, he has managed to rack up 6 touchdowns without a single interception. Love’s powerful arm and capability to connect on deep throws stand out, but his overall accuracy leaves room for improvement. Notably, his ability to maintain poise under pressure is highlighted by the fact that he’s been sacked only twice in the season’s first two games.


NFL Odds/Point Spread: Green Bay Packers -120, Total Odds: 42.5

The odds slightly favor the Green Bay Packers with a Moneyline of -120, and a minimal point spread of -1. The total over/under is set at 42.5, pointing to the expectation of a closely contested, moderate-scoring game. Given the recent offensive explosion from the Packers and the Saints’ strong defensive records, the under might be an attractive option for bettors.


New Orleans Saints Betting Trends

The Saints are riding on some impressive trends. They have gone under in their last 8 games and have a 5-1 record SU in their last 6 games. Furthermore, they have been excellent against the spread when playing Green Bay, with a 4-1 ATS record. They are also 5-1 ATS against any opponent from the NFC North division.


Green Bay Packers Betting Trends

Green Bay too has been strong against the spread, boasting a 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 games. They have a 5-2 SU record in their last 7 and have seen the total go over in 7 of their last 10 games. When playing at home against New Orleans, the total has gone over in 6 of their last 7 meetings, providing an interesting contrast to the Saints’ recent ‘under’ trend.


New Orleans Saints vs. Green Bay Packers 9/24/23 Betting Picks

In terms of final thoughts, this matchup appears to be a battle of Green Bay’s strong offense against New Orleans’ formidable defense. Based on current form and trends, the Packers look more likely to edge out the Saints, especially with the home-field advantage.

If you’re looking for a solid pick, the Packers on the Moneyline seems like a good option. Prop bets could also include targeting the over for Jordan Love’s passing touchdowns, given his current form. For those using football winning picks, focusing on the over/under could provide some excellent opportunities given the contrasting trends for both teams.


Free Pick and Prediction: Green Bay 21, New Orleans 18

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