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Milwaukee Brewers vs Colorado Rockies 5/4/2023 Analysis, Odds and Free Picks

Milwaukee Brewers vs Colorado Rockies 5/4/2023 Analysis, Odds and Free Picks

The Milwaukee Brewers are in the midst of a rough stretch, having lost their last three games, including two against the Colorado Rockies in a three-game series. They’ll look to avoid the sweep in the final game of the series on Thursday. Milwaukee’s record stands at 18-12 overall and 9-6 on the road, but they’ve fallen 1.5 games behind Pittsburgh in the NL Central. Despite their recent struggles, they still have a respectable run differential of +21 for the season.

Taking the mound for the Brewers in Thursday’s game will be left-handed pitcher Wade Miley, who boasts a 3-1 record and an impressive 1.86 ERA this season. In his last outing, Miley gave up just one earned run on seven hits over 6.0 innings of work. Milwaukee is dealing with several injuries, including Brandon Woodruff and Aaron Ashby (shoulder) on the injured list, while Eric Lauer (finger) is expected to start Wednesday’s game against Colorado. The team’s relief pitchers Adrian Houser (groin), Matt Bush (rotator cuff), and Gus Varland (hand) are also on the 15-day IL, while Justin Wilson (elbow) is on the 60-day IL. In addition, 2B Luis Urias (hamstring) and LF Garrett Mitchell (shoulder) are also on the 60-day IL.

  • The total remained UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee’s last 6 games on the road.
  • Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games on the road against Colorado.
  • The total stayed UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee’s last 10 games with an opponent in the NL.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Colorado Rockies 5/4/2023 Analysis, Odds and Free Picks

The Rockies will try to extend their home winning streak to four games when they face the Brewers on Thursday. Colorado is 11-20 overall and 6-9 at home after winning three straight home games, but they are still last in the NL West with 7.5 games behind the Dodgers and a -47 run difference. 

The Rockies avoided a sweep by the Diamondbacks with a 12-4 win on Sunday and won the first two games of the series against the Brewers with 10 runs scored and only three allowed. Connor Seabold will start for the Rockies on Thursday. The right-hander is 0-0 with a 5.27 ERA and 13 strikeouts in 13.2 innings in his last seven outings. He gave up two runs and five hits in 3.1 innings in his last start. The Rockies will be missing three starting pitchers and two position players due to injuries. German Marquez (elbow), Antonio Senzatela (knee), and Noah Davis (elbow) are on the 15-day injured list. Brendan Rodgers (shoulder) is out indefinitely and Yonathan Daza (rest) is not in the lineup against the Brewers on Thursday.

  • The total went OVER in 10 of Colorado’s last 15 matches with the Brewers.
  • The Colorado Rockies are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games at home.
  • The Rockies are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home against Milwaukee.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies. The MLB Pick for this contest is Milwaukee -145. The Brewers will be sending a better starter in Wade Miley to prevent a series sweep by controlling the swinging of bats of the Rockies’ hitters on Thursday afternoon. The southpaw starter did not allow more than 3 earned runs in his last five appearances on the mound last April. The prediction: Milwaukee Brewers will win 4-2.

MLB Starting Time: 3:10 PM ET

Location: Coors Field in Denver, Colorado 

Date: Thursday, May 4, 2023

TV: ATRM

MLB Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee Brewers -145

MLB Totals: 12.0

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