Miami Marlins (72-68) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (77-62)
As we edge closer to the culmination of the regular MLB season, two National League teams find themselves locked in a fierce competition. The Miami Marlins, with a 72-68 win-loss record, look to narrow the gap against the formidable Philadelphia Phillies, who boast a 77-62 record. For enthusiasts scanning through MLB betting sites, this game offers an intriguing set of statistics and narratives, shaping up to be a pivotal contest.
The Marlins have been experiencing an upswing in form. With a commendable batting average of 0.259, the Marlins’ offense has tallied 576 runs from 1235 hits, launching 142 balls over the fence. Their on-base percentage of 0.315 and a slugging percentage of 0.404 reveal a team that’s made significant inroads in recent times, even if they lag behind in certain metrics compared to their adversaries. The pitching stats tell a story as well. With an ERA of 4.16, a WHIP of 1.27, and holding opponents to a 0.244 batting average, the Marlins’ pitchers have been key to their success. The mound has seen 439 walks but has compensated with 1296 strikeouts.
The Phillies, on the other hand, have enjoyed a slightly better season, evidenced by their win-loss record and performance metrics. With a batting average marginally better than the Marlins at 0.260, they’ve managed to put up 678 runs from their 1240 hits. Their prowess in the home run department is evident, boasting 184 homers. Their on-base percentage and slugging percentage, standing at 0.329 and 0.441 respectively, showcase an offense that’s slightly more potent than the Marlins. However, the pitching stats are intriguing. With an ERA of 4 and a WHIP of 1.25, they’ve allowed fewer runs and slightly less traffic on the bases. They’ve granted 404 walks while striking out 1240 batters, and the opponent’s batting average stands at a razor-thin 0.242.
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies Game Info
|When:||Saturday, September 9, 2023 at 6:05 PM ET|
|Where:||Citizens Bank Park|
Johnny Cueto (1-3, 5.54 ERA) vs. Aaron Nola (12-9, 4.55 ERA)
Miami Marlins’ choice of the starting pitcher, Johnny Cueto, brings a mixed bag to the table. With a 1-3 win-loss record and an ERA of 5.54, his performance hasn’t been stellar this season. Over 37.1 innings pitched, he’s allowed 32 hits and 11 home runs, while achieving 30 strikeouts against 11 walks.
Contrastingly, the Phillies’ pick, Aaron Nola, exudes confidence. With a 12-9 record and an ERA of 4.55 over 172 innings, he’s been a workhorse for the Phillies. He’s let 154 hits slip, conceded 30 home runs, but has an impressive 179 strikeouts to his name, only giving away 44 walks.
MLB Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia Phillies -180, Total Odds: 9
For those deeply entrenched in the world of betting, the odds presented for this game are enticing. The Marlins are underdogs with a spread of +1.5 and a moneyline of +165. For the Phillies, the spread stands at -1.5 and a moneyline of -180.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
Recent trends highlight Miami’s formidable run. The total has gone OVER in 6 of their last 6 games. They have been in sterling form, with a 6-1 straight-up record in their last seven outings. Interestingly, they’ve been road warriors with a 5-1 record in their last 6 away games. When playing against Philadelphia on the road, the total has trended UNDER in 7 out of 10 encounters. However, facing any National League team, the OVER has been dominant in Miami’s last 5 games.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Phillies bring their own arsenal of statistics. The total has hit the OVER in 6 of their last 9 games. They’ve been decent with a 10-5 straight-up record in their last 15 games, and impressive at home with a 5-1 record. When playing Miami at their home ground, the total has trended UNDER in 7 of the last 10 games. Against National League teams, their record stands at 8-4, and games in September have seen the UNDER come through 7 out of 10 times.
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies 9/9/23 Betting Picks
Factoring in the trends, team stats, and a detailed look at the starting pitchers, our MLB betting picks lean towards the Philadelphia Phillies for the win. Despite the Marlins’ impressive recent form, the Phillies’ superior stats combined with home advantage make them the more likely victors.
Free Pick and Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies will win 6-4