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Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots 9/17/23 NFL Week 2 Odds, Analysis, and Prediction

Miami Dolphins (1-0) vs. New England Patriots (0-1)

As we enter NFL Week 2, the Miami Dolphins (1-0) and New England Patriots (0-1) will square off at Gillette Stadium at 8:20 PM ET on September 17th at 8:20 pm, as part of a vital matchup to set the tone for their respective seasons. For those interested in daily football picks, this piece analyses this matchup based on key players, betting odds, and trends affecting each matchup.

Beginning their season off right, the Dolphins appear in good form. Their key players include Raheem Mostert and Tyreek Hill; Mostert had 10 rushing attempts for 37 rushing yards with an average 3.7 yards per attempt and one touchdown; Tyreek Hill put up impressive receiving yardage figures with 215 receiving yards and two touchdowns – certainly making him a player to watch in this matchup.

The Patriots are coming off of an opening-week loss but have two key players that stand out: Ezekiel Elliott and Kendrick Bourne. Elliott ran for 29 rushing yards on 7 attempts for 29 rushing yards total and two touchdowns. Bourne made himself felt with 64 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns; both will play vital roles as they seek to make up ground from Week 1.


Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots Game Info

When: Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 8:20 PM ET
Where: Gillette Stadium
Stream NFL Game Pass


Tua Tagovailoa QB vs. Mac Jones QB

Tua Tagovailoa had an outstanding start to 2018, throwing for 466 yards and three touchdowns with an impressive 62.2 completion percentage and average 10.4-yard pass attempt average, indicating his arm can reliably push downfield. Furthermore, Tagovailoa has shown an ability to make plays when they matter, as evidenced by his 110 passer rating; furthermore, he remained upright without receiving a single sack recorded against him. both factors are essential when playing against an aggressive Patriots defense like New England.

Mac Jones also had a solid performance, throwing for 316 passing yards and three touchdowns, with his 64.8 completion percentage slightly outperforming Tagovailoa’s. Yet his average fewer yards per pass attempt (5.9) and passer rating (91.3) suggest more of a game-management approach, preferring shorter, safer passes over longer throws to move the ball downfield. Two sacks against Jones in Week 1 may pose potential roadblocks when facing the Dolphins’ defense known for its pass rush.

One key storyline in this game will be watching how both quarterbacks respond under pressure. Tagovailoa’s zero sacks indicate that he either escapes quickly from pocket situations, or quickly gets rid of pressure quickly; Jones could become vulnerable if Dolphins create consistent pass rush pressure against him.


NFL Odds/Point Spread: Miami Dolphins -160, Total Odds: 46.5

The betting odds suggest that the Dolphins are the favorites, with a Spread of -3 (-110) and a Moneyline of -160. On the other side, the Patriots have a Spread of +3 (-110) and a Moneyline of +140. Based on these odds and the current form of the teams, the Dolphins appear to be the better pick, particularly considering their strong start to the season.


Miami Dolphins Betting Trends

Miami has seen success betting against New England recently, with five straight victories against them being covered at plus-five odds (ATS) while posting four victories straight as underdogs (SU). Although Miami went 2-6 last season against them overall (SU), their strong performance at ATS cannot be ignored.


New England Patriots Betting Trends

The Patriots have recently struggled in the betting market, going 0-5 against the spread (ATS) in their last five games and 1-4 in home contests versus Miami. Furthermore, their overall record stands at just one loss out of four, although it should be noted they’ve won 12 out of 14 times when hosting them at home.


Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots 9/17/23 Betting Picks

After thoroughly reviewing all available information and considering key players, betting odds, and trends for this Week 2 matchup, Miami Dolphins appear to be attractive for live betting sites looking for opportunities. Their strong start and favorable betting trends provide ample chances for them to capitalize. Anyone looking to place a bet can expect this game to provide exciting action with the potential for immediate and long-term gains, so keep a keen eye on it.

Free Pick and Prediction: Miami Dolphins will win 24-20

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