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Miami Dolphins vs Houston Texans 8/19/2023 Analysis, Game Tips and Picks

Dolphins (9-8 last season) vs Texans (3-13-1 last year) 

Miami Dolphins vs Houston Texans August 19, 2023 — The Dolphins maintained an average of 23.4 points per game when they successfully scored in the end zone. They were able to advance the ball for an average of 99.2 yards, which positioned them at the 25th spot in the National Football League rankings. Throughout the previous season, Miami accumulated a total of 6,197 yards. Within that span, they achieved 220 first downs and incurred 111 penalties amounting to 881 yards. Regarding turnovers, the Dolphins lost possession of the ball on 21 occasions, including 15 interceptions and 6 fumbles. Their offensive performance was 12 rushing TDs and 30 passing TDs.

On the other hand, the Texans maintained an average of 17.0 points per game, placing them at the 30th position among all NFL teams in scoring proficiency. Concluding the previous season, the Texans managed to accumulate 3,344 yards through their passing game, with an average of 196.7 passing yards per game, ranking them 25th in the NFL. They also achieved 1,476 rushing yards overall, limiting their opponents to an average of 86.8 rushing yards per game. When it came to yardage held, the Houston Texans ranked 31st in the NFL with an average of 283.5 yards held per game. In terms of penalties incurred during offensive maneuvers against opposing teams, the Texans amassed a total of 644 penalty yards from 88 infractions, posting them 25th spot in the league. 

Miami Dolphins vs Houston Texans Game Info

Time: 4:00 PM ET.

Date: Saturday, August 19, 2023

Location: NRG Stadium, TX


Miami QB Skylar Thompson and Houston QB Davis Mills

In their previous matchup, the Dolphins experienced a defeat against the Bills, ending with a score of 34-31, which led to their departure from the competition. Skylar Thompson managed to complete 18 out of 45 pass attempts, covering a total of 220 yards and contributing one touchdown. Unfortunately, he also had two interceptions, resulting in a QB rating of 44.7. The Dolphins’ primary rusher, Jeff Wilson, carried the ball 10 times and gained 23 yards, resulting in an average of 2.3 yards per carry. Tyreek Hill, on the other hand, made 7 grabs and racked 69 yards, averaging 9.9 yards per catch.

In contrast, the Texans were victorious against the Colts in their recent game to a score of 32-31. Davis Mills, who managed to throw 3 touchdowns, completed 22 of his 38 pass attempts, totaling 298 yards and achieving an efficiency rating of 87.3 for the game. His average passing distance amounted to 7.8 yards, but he also threw 2 interceptions. The standout receiver for the Texans was Brandin Cooks, who caught 5 passes for a total of 106 yards, averaging an impressive 21.2 yards per reception. Dare Ogunbowale carried the ball 11 times for Houston, gaining 33 yards and maintaining an average of 3.0 yards per carry throughout the duration of the game.

Odds/Point Spread: Miami Dolphins +3.5, Total Odds: 40

The Dolphins allowed 3,992 passing yards, enough for 27th place in the NFL. In their 17 games, they had an average passing efficiency of 66.7% and 234.8 yards per game. With respect to the yards they gave up (337.8 per game), they were placed 18th in the league. In addition to 27 throwing TDs, they also allowed 15 running TDs. They allowed an average of 4.1 running yards and 103.0 rushing yards per game last season.

Miami Dolphins Betting Trends

  • The Dolphins are 3-9 SU in their last 12 games against the Texans.
  • The Miami Dolphins are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games on the road.
  • Miami is 0-6 SU in their last 6 games g on the road against Houston.
  • The team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against an opponent in the AFC.

Houston Texans Betting Trends

  • The Houston Texans are 0-7 SU in their last 7 games at home.
  • Houston is 6-0 SU in their last 6 games at home against the Miami Dolphins.
  • The Texans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games with an AFC opponent.
  • The total stayed UNDER in 7 of Houston’s last 8 games against an American Football Conference East division opponent.

Miami Dolphins vs Houston Texans Betting Trends

Miami Dolphins vs Houston Texans: Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Dolphins will cover the spread with 53.0% confidence. Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Dolphins and Texans, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games, and key player performances this season. Dolphins RBs rushed for 10 or more yards on 16.1% of 93 carries in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fourth-best in NFL.

Free Pick and Prediction: Miami Dolphins will win 22-18.


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