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Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills 10/01/23 NFL Week 4 Odds, Picks, and Predictions

Miami Dolphins (3-0) vs. Buffalo Bills (2-1)

The unbeaten Miami Dolphins prepare to square off against the formidable Buffalo Bills in what promises to be an electrifying NFL Week 4 matchup. As the Dolphins ride the wave of an undefeated start, the Bills look to curb their momentum and solidify their own standing. Set in the heart of Buffalo at the Highmark Stadium, bettors leveraging the best bookie software will be eyeing this fixture closely, hoping to make the right call.

The Miami Dolphins, under the leadership of Tua Tagovailoa, have been a revelation. The offensive line has also been buoyed by the dynamic performances of running back Raheem Mostert, who has stamped his authority with three touchdowns already. To complement their ground game, Tyreek Hill has been an aerial threat, proving his worth as a wide receiver with 255 receiving yards in just two games.

Josh Allen’s Buffalo Bills should not be underestimated; their passing game has amassed over 500 yards through just two games; James Cook has been an incredible run blocker, covering an astounding 169 yards on the ground alone! Their receiving unit, led by Stefon Diggs, has also put up impressive figures and provided Allen with reliable targets.


Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills Game Info

When:Sunday, October 1, 2023 at 1:00 AM ET
Where:Highmark Stadium
Stream:NFL Game Pass


Tua Tagovailoa QB vs. Josh Allen QB

Tua Tagovailoa, the young prodigy out of Alabama, has demonstrated a swift adaptation to the rigors of the NFL. Entering this season, he’s showcased a combination of accuracy and decision-making that sets him apart. With 715 passing yards to his name in just two games and a commendable 65.3% completion rate, Tua’s growth curve is undeniable. He has a knack for reading defenses, dissecting them with precision passes, and exploiting mismatches. However, the budding quarterback also exhibits areas of growth. Facing the challenge of the Bills’ defense, known for their disruptive plays, Tua must exhibit caution. His two interceptions this season serve as a reminder of the slim margins for error in the league.

In contrast, Josh Allen of the Buffalo Bills stands as one of the league’s most dynamic playmakers. From his days at Wyoming to the heart of Buffalo, Allen’s journey in the NFL has been marked by continuous improvement. His arm strength is among the league’s elite, allowing him to make throws others wouldn’t dare attempt. With 510 passing yards in two games and four touchdowns, Allen is pivotal to the Bills’ offensive schemes. His ability to extend plays with his legs adds another layer of threat that defenses have to account for. While his three interceptions point towards moments of over-aggression, Allen’s confidence and resilience ensure he remains unfazed. As he prepares to face the Dolphins, Allen will be keen to exploit any defensive lapses and solidify the Bills’ dominance over their AFC East rivals.


NFL Odds/Point Spread: Buffalo Bills -175, Total Odds: 49.5 

Considering the current form of both teams, the odds slightly favor the home side, Buffalo Bills. While the Dolphins have had a pristine start, the Bills, with their home advantage and past records against the Dolphins, seem to be the favorites. However, bettors should analyze team strategies, key player conditions, and recent performances before making a decision.


Miami Dolphins Betting Trends

Despite their perfect start, the Miami Dolphins have struggled against the Bills in recent times, with a 1-9 SU record in their last 10 games against Buffalo. This becomes even more concerning on the road, as they’re 0-7 SU when playing in Buffalo. Yet, their current form cannot be ignored as they’re 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games, indicating they’ve outperformed betting expectations.


Buffalo Bills Betting Trends

The Buffalo Bills have dominated at home, registering a 13-2 SU in their last 15 home games. Their mastery over the Dolphins is also evident with a 7-0 SU record in their last 7 home games against Miami. Despite their strong performances, they’ve struggled against AFC teams, going 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games.


Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills 10/01/23 Betting Picks

This matchup pits two high-flying offenses against each other, promising a thrilling contest. The Dolphins, with their impeccable start, will look to break their jinx against the Bills. Buffalo, however, will rely on their home advantage and recent dominance over the Dolphins.

For those scouting for free football picks, considering the over might be a wise choice given the offensive prowess of both teams. However, when picking sides, the Bills, with their home advantage and past record, seem to have the edge.


Free Pick and Prediction: Buffalo Bills 30, Miami Dolphins 27

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