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Max Griffin vs Michael Morales 7/1/2023 Analysis, Game Tips and Picks

Max Griffin vs Michael Morales 7/1/2023 Analysis, Game Tips and Picks

On Saturday, July 1, 2023, Max Griffin and Michael Morales will square off at UFC Vegas 76. Griffin is at +163 on the opening moneyline, while Morales is at -225.

Max “Pain” Griffin enters this bout with a 19-9-0 record. The 37-year-old is listed as being 5’11” tall and 170 pounds. The traditional combatant reaches 76. Michael Morales weighs 170 pounds and measures 6 feet. The orthodox boxer enters the Octagon with a 14-0-0 record. Seventy-nine inches is the 24-year-old’s reach. Max Griffin connects on 4.23 significant strikes per minute, while Michael Morales scores 5.36 significant strikes per minute. Griffin lands 50% of his significant strikes, compared to Morales’ 51%. “Pain” permits 3.87 major strikes per minute in the cage, whereas Morales receives 4.10. Griffin also stops 57% of the big strikes that Morales’ opponents try, and he can block 40% of the fired bullets.

Max Griffin is not the most effective wrestler; he is taken down 1.60 times every three rounds. Griffin successfully brings his opponent to the ground on 50% of his efforts and successfully avoids 71% of his opponents’ attempted takedowns. In 40% of his takedown attempts, Morales succeeds, and in 86% of his opponent’s takedown attempts, he fails. Griffin is the less likely of the two fighters to seek the submit, attempting 0.3 subs every three rounds, compared to Morales’ 0.6 subs per three rounds.

Max Griffin vs Michael Morales 7/1/2023 Analysis, Game Tips and Picks

Max Griffin defeated Tim Means in round three of their last fight, which was decided by a split decision. Means connected with 143 of the 215 total blows made in that bout. Griffin finished the evening having connected on 56 of 96 attempts. Means had a 40% success rate with his significant strikes, landing 47 of 115 attempts. Of the 64 critical head-directed blows he ultimately made, 18 were successful. According to statistics, Griffin scored 42 out of 78 significant hits, or 53%. He hit on 25 of 52 of those major hits directed at the head. Means connected 78% of the major blows, whereas Griffin connected 83% from a distance.

Michael Morales fought Adam Fugitt in his final match, which he ultimately won with a blow to the head in round 3. Ultimately, Fugitt landed 90% of the essential strikes he attempted from a distance, whereas Morales landed 77% of those same significant blows. In the end, Morales succeeded with 83 of 151 major blows or 54% of his attempts. He hit the head with 74 of his 140 major strikes. Fugitt ultimately connected on 64 of his 113 basic punches in the bout. He was successful on 32 of 74 head-targeted blows, a considerable percentage. Fugitt was 70 of 120 in total strikes thrown, and Morales connected on 89 of 157.

Max Griffin vs Michael Morales. Both of Morales’ UFC fights ended in knockouts, and he looked quite spectacular doing it. Even though their Contender Series match ended in a decision, it was still a relatively strong performance in which he displayed his grappling prowess.

Prediction: 24-year-old Morales wins over 37-year-old Griffin

Date: Saturday, July 1, 2023

Venue: UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada

Date: Time:     7:00 PM ET

ODDS: Michael Morales -250

Max Griffin +190

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