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UFC on ESPN 55 Betting Prediction: Matheus Nicolau vs. Alex Perez 4/27/2024

UFC on ESPN 55 Betting Prediction: Matheus Nicolau vs. Alex Perez 4/27/2024

As UFC on ESPN 55 fast approaches, the flyweight showdown between Matheus Nicolau and Alex Perez is grabbing the spotlight. Nicolau, holding a record of 19-4-1, and Perez, with 24-8-0, are set to face off in what promises to be a riveting contest. Scheduled for Saturday, April 27, 2024, at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, this event not only pulls the attention of mixed martial arts enthusiasts but also of bettors and followers of top online casinos seeking to predict the outcome.


Matheus Nicolau vs. Alex Perez Game Info

When:Saturday, April 27, 2024, at 7:00 PM ET
Where:UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA


Matheus Nicolau Analysis

Matheus Nicolau has a mixed martial arts style that comprises a wide range of skills. He has 19 victories, 4 losses, and 1 draw. His average fight time stands at 11:14, showing his sustainable fighting capability in a battle, which could be fundamental in a case against the opponent, for instance, Pérez. Nico hits at least 3.66 significant strikes for every minute with an accuracy of 53% while receiving the same amount of strikes every minute with a balanced defensive rate of 66%. His grappling stats indicate an average of 1.48 takedowns per 15 minutes, with his exceptional takedown defense of 93% makes him difficult to control on the ground. Even after his loss to Royval, Nicolau’s stats show that he is good at dictating the pace and choosing the winners of the fight, two factors that will play an important role in his next bout.


Alex Perez Analysis

In contrast, Alex Perez comes with a more aggressive approach by securing 24 wins and 8 losses. Perez’s fights are typically shorter, averaging 6:38 which shows how he is tactical about how to end fights fast. Although he has a higher total number of strikes per minute at 4.12, he is less accurate with 46%. His negative defense at 59% is an area that Nicolau might use against him. Perez averages takedowns of 2.26 every 15 minutes and has a submission average of 1.0 per fight, which shows clearly that Perez likes to get his opponent on the ground. Perez’s recent loss to Mokaev could make him focus and come back stronger with the objective of using his ground-and-pound and grappling to his advantage.


Matheus Nicolau vs. Alex Perez Stats

Average Fight Time11:146:38
Height5′ 6″5′ 6″
Weight125 lbs.125 lbs.
Strikes Landed per Min.3.664.12
Striking Accuracy53%46%
Strikes Absorbed per Min.3.143.14
Takedowns Average/15 min.1.482.26
Takedown Accuracy45%44%
Takedown Defense93%82%
Submission Average/15 min.0.91.0


Matheus Nicolau vs. Alex Perez Betting Picks

Analyzing both fighters’ skills and recent accomplishments we can say the fight should be a thriller in the making. Nicola’s great capacity of frying punches and nearly perfect anti-takedown defense can be crucial for winning a bout if it was intentionally made to last many rounds. Longer bouts that require putting in the effort and the endurance to maintain effectiveness is where he capitalizes on and this gives him a slight edge. Perez being so good in takedowns, fighting aggressively and subjecting Nicolau to constant pressure can help him in giving his opponent a few good blows and thus bringing the fight in his favor.

Looking at the betting odds we can see Nicolau at -180 vs Perez’s +155, which signifies that they are viewed as lopsided, and the latter is challenged in some aspects like technical defense and fight endurance. Some gamblers who tend to go for playing it safe could likely settle on Nicolau but those who are after value could be attracted to Perez whom they feel can pull an upset.


Free Pick: Matheus Nicolau -180

As UFC on ESPN 55 approaches, betting enthusiasts and MMA fans alike are in for a thrilling encounter between Matheus Nicolau and Alex Perez. With both fighters aiming to bounce back from their recent losses, the stakes are particularly high. For those making their MMA latest picks tonight, considering Nicolau’s proven resilience and technical skills against Perez’s aggressive and dynamic approach could guide your betting strategies for what promises to be an exhilarating bout.

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