UFC FIGHT NIGHT 236 Betting Prediction: Jack Hermansson vs. Joe Pyfer 2/10/2024
As UFC FIGHT NIGHT 236 draws closer, fans and bettors are becoming increasingly intrigued with the middleweight match between Jack Hermansson and Joe Pyfer at UFC FIGHT NIGHT 236, scheduled to take place this Saturday at UFC APEX in Las Vegas, which has generated tremendous anticipation among both spectators and bettors alike. This event, eagerly anticipated by those visiting top casino online sites for odds and predictions, promises to be the highlight of the evening.
Jack Hermansson vs. Joe Pyfer Game Info
| When: | Saturday, February 10, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET |
| Where: | UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA |
| TV: | ESPN+ |
Jack Hermansson Analysis
The veteran Jack “The Joker” Hermansson enters this main event with a 23-8 record, having lost two of his last three bouts against top-ranked competition. Before that recent slide, Hermansson had put together an impressive four-fight win streak over ranked middleweight contenders. Over his 31-fight career which has lasted an average of 10 minutes and 42 seconds per bout, Hermansson has shown incredible versatility and well-rounded skills. He possesses legitimate grappling credentials, evident in his 29% takedown accuracy and 1.66 takedowns per 15 minutes. Six of Hermansson’s 23 career wins have come via submission as well.
Complementing that grappling pedigree, Hermansson brings high-volume striking output at a 44% clip. He lands 5.13 significant strikes per minute, while having the defensive awareness to only absorb 3.69. That 55% striking defense rate showcases good movement and durability, resulting in Hermansson only being finished once by strikes in his career. With the ability to finish fights both on the mat and the feet, Hermansson boasts a wealth of experience against elite UFC talent that his opponent lacks.
Joe Pyfer Analysis
Joe “Bodybagz” Pyfer sports a 12-2 record, with his last win on Razak Alhassan. Pyfer has rattled off seven consecutive victories including five knockouts. Showcasing tremendous offensive wrestling, Pyfer attempts 2.97 takedowns per 15 minutes while converting them at an 83% clip. If he can replicate that prowess against Hermansson, it may neutralize the grappling threat.
On the feet, Pyfer is both efficient and powerful, landing 3.64 significant strikes per minute at an accurate 45% rate. He only absorbs 2.34 significant strikes per minute thanks to solid 55% striking defense. That defensive awareness allows Pyfer to pick his shots carefully while setting up fight-ending power. Riding career momentum with clear paths to victory on paper through his wrestling and striking, Pyfer is a live underdog despite Hermansson’s edge in experience.
Jack Hermansson vs. Joe Pyfer Stats
| Hermansson | Pyfer | |
| Wins/Losses/Draws | 23-8-0 | 12-2-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 10:42 | 5:03 |
| Height | 6′ 1″ | 6′ 2″ |
| Weight | 185 lbs. | 185 lbs. |
| Reach | 77″ | 75″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Strikes Landed per Min. | 5.13 | 3.64 |
| Striking Accuracy | 44% | 45% |
| Strikes Absorbed per Min. | 3.69 | 2.34 |
| Defense | 55% | 55% |
| Takedowns Average/15 min. | 1.66 | 2.97 |
| Takedown Accuracy | 29% | 83% |
| Takedown Defense | 75% | 50% |
| Submission Average/15 min. | 0.4 | 1.8 |
Jack Hermansson vs. Joe Pyfer Betting Picks
This main event provides an interesting clash of styles, with Hermansson’s grappling and volume striking against Pyfer’s power and offensive wrestling. Hermansson has faced superior competition, which gives him an edge. However, Pyfer’s wrestling could cause issues if he secures takedowns and avoids Hermansson’s submissions. The betting trends reflect the competitiveness of this bout, with Hermansson +220 moneyline. Pyfer provides value as a -275 favorite against a perennial contender possibly on the downslope of his career.
While Hermansson deserves respect for his accomplishments, recency bias affects public perception after losing in his past fight. Pyfer has shown continual improvement en route to seven straight wins, seemingly peaking at the perfect time. Riding momentum and youth on his side, Pyfer appears poised to notch the biggest win of his career.
Free Pick: Joe Pyfer -275
Joe Pyfer is a favorable pick for this UFC FIGHT NIGHT 236 main event, especially for bettors looking to take a chance on a rising contender against a seasoned name. Those finalizing their UFC FIGHT NIGHT 236 betting picks may be handsomely rewarded backing the upset.
