Houston Texans (2-2) vs. Atlanta Falcons (2-2)
As we gear up for an intriguing matchup in Week 5 of the NFL season, the Houston Texans and the Atlanta Falcons find themselves evenly poised with a 2-2 record. Both teams will be looking to gain momentum and stake a claim in their respective divisions. Taking place at the iconic Mercedes-Benz Stadium, this game promises some riveting action. If you’re looking for Week 5 NFL picks, you’re in the right place.
Houston’s offense has been spurred by the likes of running back Dameon Pierce and wide receiver Nico Collins. Pierce, in 4 games, has accumulated 181 rushing yards from 64 attempts, but with an average of just 2.8 yards per rush, it indicates the potential struggles of Houston’s offensive line or the challenges he’s faced against stout defensive lines. In contrast, Collins has been a standout in the receiving corps. With 428 receiving yards from 22 receptions, averaging an impressive 19.5 yards per reception, he’s become a reliable target and a deep threat for the Texans.
On the other hand, Atlanta’s running game is primarily driven by Bijan Robinson, who has dazzled with an average of 6 yards per rush. Accumulating 318 rushing yards from 53 attempts, Robinson has consistently kept the chains moving. Wide receiver Drake London, though not as explosive as his counterpart Collins, has secured 126 receiving yards from 11 receptions, marking his importance in Atlanta’s passing game.
Houston Texans vs. Atlanta Falcons Game Info
|Sunday, October 8, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET
|NFL Game Pass
C.J. Stroud QB vs. Desmond Ridder QB
C.J. Stroud has emerged as an impressive leader for the Houston Texans’ offense this season. Through four games, Stroud has displayed impressive pocket presence while his statistics underscore his potential. Stroud has amassed 1,212 passing yards so far this season, averaging 8 yards per pass. Furthermore, with an impressive completion percentage of 62.3% from his 151 attempts it’s clear that Stroud isn’t just focused on throwing deep but on making sure his passes connect successfully. Stroud’s 6 passing touchdowns without throwing an interception are testament to his decision-making skills and are emblematic of his prowess as an elite quarterback. Yet his 11 sacks may suggest some concerns regarding either his offensive line protection or decision making under pressure.
Desmond Ridder of the Atlanta Falcons has also held up well, playing similar number of games as Stroud, while accounting for 744 passing yards compared to his 860 total passing yards of Stroud. His average passing yards per pass are 6.3 and his completion rate nearly equal to Stroud at 62%, demonstrating his efficiency; however, some aspects of his game might draw scrutiny. Three interceptions compared with his three passing touchdowns suggest Ridder may be susceptible to aggressive defenses or making quick decisions under duress, with 16 times of being sacked and losing 119 yards along the way. Ridder remains an integral figure for the Falcons and his performance will likely determine the outcome of any upcoming clash.
NFL Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta Falcons -135, Total Odds: 41
The odds favor the Atlanta Falcons slightly, with a spread of -2.5. However, the close nature of the odds, paired with both teams’ current form, promises a nail-biter. It might be wise for bettors to consider the over/under totals and individual player performances given the recent offensive showcases.
Houston Texans Betting Trends
Recent trends for Houston indicate mixed fortunes. While they’re 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games, the overall record is shaky, especially considering they are 0-10 SU against teams from the NFC. Particularly concerning is their 2-10 SU record in October. Their away game trend, however, is promising at 4-1 ATS.
Atlanta Falcons Betting Trends
For Atlanta, recent trends don’t paint a rosy picture either. They stand at 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games. Their home form is redeeming with a 5-1 SU in their last 6 games at home. But it’s important to note their dismal 0-5 ATS record against teams from the AFC.
Houston Texans vs. Atlanta Falcons 10/8/23 Betting Picks
Based on recent performances and betting trends, this promises to be a closely contested match. However, the individual brilliance of key players like Nico Collins for Houston and Bijan Robinson for Atlanta could be game-changers.
For those scouting the best sports betting sites, it might be a good idea to look at prop bets centered on these star performers. Given the total trends, betting under 41 might be a viable option.
Free Pick and Prediction: Houston Texans 21, Atlanta Falcons 20