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Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians 6/11/2023 Game Analysis, Picks and Previews

Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians 6/11/2023 Game Analysis, Picks and Previews

On Sunday, June 11, 2023, at 12:40 PM ET, the Houston Astros will play the Cleveland Guardians in MLB action at Progressive Field in Ohio. Houston had several opportunities to upset Cleveland in the opening game of the series on Friday night in their first game since Yordan Alvarez’s injury, but they were unable to accomplish it. The Astros were five games behind the Rangers in the division rankings on Saturday with a record of 36-28. Houston amassed 15 hits on Friday, with Jeremy Pena leading the way with four hits. Jose Abreu’s second home run of the season gave the Astros an early lead, but it quickly disappeared. The Astros left 14 men on base while going 6 for 28 with runners in scoring position during the loss. In his five innings of work, Cristian Javier allowed four runs on seven hits, three walks, and two strikeouts. The choice was made without taking into account his performance. After pitching 3.1 innings and allowing four runs (one earned) on four hits, three walks, and four strikeouts, Seth Martinez (1-2) was given the loss.

Brandon Bielak of the Astros will make his eighth appearance and seventh start of the season in this contest. He had a 3-2 record, a 3.35 ERA, a 1.513 WHIP, 13 walks, and 30 strikeouts in 37.2 innings thrown heading into this contest. Bielak won his most recent start, which he made on the road on Monday against the Blue Jays. In 6.2 innings of work, he allowed three runs on 10 hits, one walk, and two strikeouts in a game the Astros won 11-4. With a record of 2-1, a 3.79 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, five walks, and 11 strikeouts in 19 innings thrown across his previous three starts, Bielak has three starts under his belt. The 53rd major league appearance and 15th start for Bielak come against the Guardians. This is also the first time he has played at Progressive Field in his professional career.

  • Houston is 12-5 SU in their last 17 meetings with the Guardians.
  • The Houston Astros are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games on the road.
  • The Astros are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games on the road against Cleveland.

Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians 6/11/2023 Game Analysis, Picks and Previews

On Friday night, Cleveland overcame an early 4-0 deficit to win in extra innings, earning their third victory in a row and fifth victory in the previous six games. On Saturday, the Guardians had an overall record of 30-33 and were 1.5 games down of the Twins in the AL Central standings. For Cleveland on Friday night, Jose Ramirez (three hits, two runs, RBI) and Myles Straw (run) each got three hits, contributing to the team’s 14-hit offensive effort. For the Guardians, Ramirez blasted his fourth home run in the previous two games, giving him eleven for the season. Logan Allen did not factor into the decision after throwing six innings and allowing five runs on nine hits, two walks, and four strikeouts. After pitching one inning in relief and allowing just one run (all unearned) on one hit with no walks or strikeouts, Xzavion Curry (3-0) won the win.

Shane Bieber is starting his 14th game of the season for the Guardians as a pitcher in this contest. He had a 4-3 record, a 3.57 ERA, a 1.277 WHIP, 22 walks, and 55 strikeouts in 80.2 innings of work heading into the game. Bieber had no influence in the selection for his most recent start, which occurred on Tuesday night at home against the Red Sox. In 5.2 innings of work, he allowed one run on five hits, one walk, and two strikeouts in a game the Guardians lost 5-4. In his previous three starts, Bieber is 1-0 with a 5.51 ERA, a 1.53 WHIP, seven walks, and eight strikeouts in 16.1 innings thrown. Bieber starts the third game of his career in this contest with the Astros. He pitched 13 innings against them and finished with a record of 0-1; his stats include a 3.46 ERA, 1.308 WHIP, five walks, and 17 strikeouts. 

  • The total remained UNDER in 8 of Cleveland’s last 12 games at home.
  • The Cleveland Guardians are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games at home against Houston.
  • The total went OVER in 4 of Cleveland’s last 6 games against an opponent in the AL.

Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians The MLB pick for this game is the Cleveland Guardians. Houston is now obliged to deploy a player from the tail end of the rotation after they wasted many opportunities to win the game on Friday night. The fact that Bielak’s season-long WHIP is above 1.5 and his FIP ERA is 5.22 suggests that he was relatively unfortunate, despite the fact that he pitched effectively in his most recent appearances. Therefore, he will likely undergo some negative regression. Bieber did brilliantly despite having a substantially lower strikeout % this season than the previous. As a result of their comeback victory in game one of the series, the Guardians have the upper hand on the mound in this contest. Give Cleveland the upper hand in this one because they won the series. The expected final score is 6-4 in favor of Cleveland.

MLB Starting Time: 12:40 PM ET

Location: Progressive Field, Ohio

Date: Sunday, June 11, 2023

TV: Bally Sports Great Lakes

MLB Odds: Houston Astros +119

MLB Totals: 8


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