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Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox 8/30/2023 Game Analysis, Odds and Tips

Astros (75-58) vs. Red Sox (69-63)

Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox Jays August 30, 2023 — The Astros are enjoying a remarkable year and are locked in fierce competition to secure the division title for the third consecutive season. Despite recent success, Framber Valdez’s performance on the mound has fallen short, surrendering 67 runs in 161.2 innings pitched. Moreover, Valdez’s adversaries connect well and effectively, driving the ball to score runs with an expected batting average of .248, an anticipated opponent slugging percentage of .403, and a predicted ERA of 4.19.

As the season enters its final weeks, the Red Sox, also having an outstanding year, aims to make a strong push for a wild card spot. Kutter Crawford is set to take the mound for the team’s upcoming game, seeking to continue his impressive season. Throughout the year, he has only given up 42 runs in 101 innings pitched and has managed to strike out 101 batters. Additionally, Crawford’s rivals have struggled to make contact against him, finding it challenging to score runs due to his projected ERA of 3.43, expected opponent batting average of .212, and walk rate of 6.1%.

Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox Game Info

Time: 3:45 PM ET.

Date: Wednesday, August 30, 2023

Venue: Fenway Park in Boston, MA


Astros SP Framber Valdez (9-9, ERA: 3.40) and Red Sox SP Kutter Crawford (6-6, ERA: 3.65)

Despite Valdez’s challenging season on the mound, the Astros’ batting lineup carried the team by averaging 5.04 runs per game. However, the rest of the lineup performed exceptionally well. Yordan Alvarez maintains a batting line of .288/.394/.560, boasting 22 home runs and 173 total bases, while Jose Altuve impresses with a slash of .322/.415/.529, accompanied by 10 home runs and 128 total bases. Adding to their offensive prowess, Kyle Tucker exhibits a formidable slash line of .293/.374/.521, which includes 26 home runs and 247 total bases. Contributions from Alex Bregman and Chas McCormick further bolster the lineup, delivering a combined total of 40 home runs and 260 total bases.

On the other hand, while Crawford showed improvement, the Red Sox’s strength this season has been their batting lineup, generating an average of 4.99 runs per game. The entirety of the lineup has excelled, highlighted by Justin Turner’s performance with a .290/.361/.495 batting line, encompassing 22 home runs and 225 total bases. Meanwhile, Adam Duvall holds an impressive slash line of .272/.335/.582, accompanied by 17 home runs and 139 total bases. Triston Casas and Alex Verdugo further enhanced the lineup, contributing 33 home runs and 386 total bases, providing the Red Sox with a deep and formidable offensive presence. Notably, Rafael Devers maintains a slash line of .269/.345/.512, along with 29 home runs and 243 total bases.

Odds/Point Spread: Houston Astros -139, Total Odds: 10.5

The upcoming clash between two premier teams in the American League is captivating. The Red Sox are eager to assert dominance right from the opening inning on their home turf, while the Astros are determined to emerge victorious in this pivotal game. With hitters like Adam Duvall and Justin Turner, along with the entire lineup, making solid contact and delivering powerful hits against pitchers such as Framber Valdez and the rest of the Astros’ pitching staff, the Red Sox, who maintain an average of 4.99 runs per game, seems poised to rack up runs freely.

With Kutter Crawford assuming a pivotal role on the mound and delivering a series of high-quality innings, the Red Sox appear well-equipped to stifle the Astros’ offensive efforts. This strong performance would subsequently allow the bullpen to secure the advantage and conclude the game in their favor. As the underdogs on their home turf, the Red Sox hold the potential to emerge triumphant, presenting enticing odds for the spectators.

Houston Astros Betting Trends

  • Houston is 5-2 SU in their last 7 matches against the Red Sox.
  • The Houston Astros are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games on the road.
  • The Astors are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games on the road against Boston.

Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

  • The total went OVER in 5 of the Red Soxs’ last 6 games against the Astros.
  • The total hung OVER in 4 of Boston’s last 5 games at home.
  • Boston is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games at home against Houston.

Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox: This will be an exciting game between two of the top teams in the American League. The Red Sox want to step up at home and take charge from the first inning while the Astros want to win the decisive game. With Adam Duvall, Justin Turner, and the rest of the lineup making contact and hitting the ball hard against Framber Valdez and the other Astros pitchers, the Red Sox, who score 4.99 runs per game on average, should be able to score runs at will. With Kutter Crawford stepping up and throwing many quality innings, the Red Sox should be able to contain the Astros’ offense and allow the bullpen to seal the victory with a lead.

Free Pick and Prediction: Houston Astros will win 8-4.





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