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NFL Week 18 Betting Prediction: Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Commanders 1/7/2024

Dallas Cowboys (11-5) vs. Washington Commanders (4-12)

In the final week of the NFL regular season, the Dallas Cowboys and Washington Commanders are set to face each other at FedEx Field this Sunday in a test of strength as well as an essential game for bettors seeking reliable Super Bowl betting picks. Both sides hope to secure playoff positioning while one team may play out for pride; therefore this game holds great meaning for bettors looking for reliable picks.

The Cowboys’ offense has been a formidable one this year, particularly their passing and receiving departments. Dak Prescott has been incredible, throwing for 4237 yards with an amazing 68.4% completion rate and 32 touchdowns while CeeDee Lamb has been spectacular in receiving yards, notching 1651 receptions and 10 touchdowns alone. Tony Pollard’s 935 rush yards and five scores have also provided a balanced attack that makes their offense multidimensional and difficult to contain.

Washington Commanders have also experienced their fair share of difficulties, but there have also been bright spots. Quarterback Sam Howell, who endured significant pressure with 61 sacks against him, managed 3793 passing yards and 20 touchdowns despite facing significant pressure; Brian Robinson Jr. led their rushing attack with 708 yards and 5 touchdowns; while Terry McLaurin made headlines as the team’s star receiver with 946 receiving yards and four touchdowns — making her an invaluable member of their offense.


Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Commanders Game Info

When: Sunday, January 7, 2024, at 4:25 PM ET
Where: FedEx Field
Stream: NFL Game Pass


Dak Prescott QB vs. Sam Howell QB

Dak Prescott has played well this season, completing 68% of his passes for over 4,000 yards with 32 touchdowns and a 104.2 passer rating. He has shown good decision making, tossing just 8 interceptions on 554 attempts. Prescott excels at spreading the ball around and taking what the defense gives him, evident by his 7.6 yards per attempt. If the Cowboys offensive line can contain Washington’s strong pass rush, Prescott should efficiently dice up a Commanders secondary that allows 236 passing yards per game.

Sam Howell has endured growing pains as a rookie quarterback, completing just 63% of his throws for 20 touchdowns and 19 picks. While he has flashed arm talent, ranking top 10 in deep ball completion rate, Howell’s decision making and accuracy need refinement. Too often he focuses on one read or forces risky throws instead of going through progressions. Against an opportunistic Cowboys defense allowing just 17.5 points per game, Howell must avoid turnovers and take check down options. With Washington likely playing from behind, Howell may pad stats in garbage time but will struggle to generate points until the outcome has been decided.


NFL Odds/Point Spread: Dallas Cowboys -800, Total Odds: 46

The Cowboys are heavily favored with a -800 moneyline and a 13-point spread, reflecting their superior season performance. The total odds set at 46 points suggest expectations of a reasonably high-scoring game.


Dallas Cowboys Betting Trends

Dallas is just 1-4 against the spread (ATS) in their last 5 games, failing to cover lofty betting lines. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the Cowboys’ last 5 matchups as well. However, Dallas is 4-1 ATS in their previous 5 meetings with Washington.


Washington Commanders Betting Trends

Washington is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 contests, consistently falling short of betting expectations. However, the total has gone OVER in 5 of the Commanders’ last 7 matchups. In their last 6 home games, Washington is 0-6 straight up (SU).


Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Commanders 1/7/24 Betting Picks

Given the trends and the overall performance of both teams, the Cowboys appear to be the clear favorites. Their balanced offense and strong defensive play make them a formidable opponent for the Commanders.

For bettors, backing the Cowboys seems to be the logical choice, despite their recent ATS record. Prop bets could focus on individual performances, such as Prescott’s passing yards or Lamb’s receptions. The over/under might favor the over, considering the Cowboys’ offensive firepower. Bettors looking for real-time betting opportunities and odds should explore top online casinos offering sports betting.


Free Pick and Prediction: Dallas Cowboys 31, Washington Commanders 17

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