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NFL Week 16 Betting Prediction: Commanders vs. Jets 12/24/2023

Washington Commanders (4-10) vs. New York Jets (5-9)

As the NFL season reaches its pinnacle, Sunday’s matchup between the Washington Commanders and New York Jets should prove pivotal in terms of both teams’ seasons. Scheduled for MetLife Stadium, this encounter could prove pivotal as both sides attempt to find consistency late-in the year; with NFL betting pick enthusiasts hoping to take advantage of late-season dynamics.

The Washington Commanders have experienced difficulty on offense this season, particularly with their running game led by Brian Robinson Jr. Unfortunately, their running game has yet to reach its potential and deliver breakthroughs despite Robinson amassing 664 rushing yards and five touchdowns; overall execution has left much to be desired; Terry McLaurin’s impressive 835 receiving yards have made significant plays for them; unfortunately it has not been enough to turn their fortunes in their favor.

On the other side of things, New York Jets have also encountered challenges. Led by Breece Hall’s running attack – with 637 yards and two touchdowns this season alone – their running game has proven effective and impactful; Garrett Wilson has emerged as a reliable target with 882 receiving yards, matching McLaurin’s three touchdowns. Overall, however, their offense lacks consistency needed to dominate games.


Washington Commanders vs. New York Jets Game Info

When: Sunday, December 24, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET
Where: MetLife Stadium
Stream: NFL Game Pass


Sam Howell QB vs. Zach Wilson QB

Sam Howell has shown promise in his rookie campaign, demonstrating advanced field vision and play extension abilities for a first year player. While he lacks elite arm strength, his quick release and accuracy on the run will give the Jets defense problems. Howell is especially adept at keeping his eyes downfield when forced out of the pocket, allowing him to create big plays. However, his decision making has been questionable at times. He has already thrown 15 interceptions and taken numerous drive-killing sacks. If the Jets can get interior pressure and force Howell to climb the pocket, he could get rattled into poor decisions.

For Wilson, consistency has been his biggest issue in year one. He has games where he looks like the future franchise quarterback with elite physical traits. However in other contests, he looks completely lost and commits back breaking turnovers. The good news is Wilson seems to play better at home, where he can feed off the crowd energy. His confidence appears directly tied to early game success. If Wilson hits some quick throws and gets into a rhythm, he has the arm talent to challenge Washington downfield. But the Commanders pass rush could also exploit Wilson’s propensity to hold the ball too long in the pocket. He must get the ball out quickly and to play makers like Garrett Wilson to avoid momentum swinging mistakes.


NFL Odds/Point Spread: New York Jets -155, Total Odds: 37.5

The betting odds lean towards the New York Jets as the favorites, primarily due to their slightly better record and home-field advantage. The total odds set at 37.5 reflect the expectation of a low-scoring affair, considering the offensive struggles both teams have endured this season.


Washington Commanders Betting Trends

The Commanders are just 1-4 against the spread (ATS) in their last 5 overall. But more telling, they have gone 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with the Jets. Even with Jets struggles of late, the Commanders have simply not played well in this head-to-head matchup.


New York Jets Betting Trends

While the Jets have gone an abysmal 1-6 straight up in their last 7 games, they have gone 6-3 ATS over that same sample. This indicates they are losing close games rather than getting blown out. With the teams appearing evenly matched, getting over a field goal at home seems like a smart wager.


Washington Commanders vs. New York Jets 12/24/23 Betting Picks

Considering the data and trends, this game appears to be a battle of defenses with both teams struggling offensively. The key will be which team can capitalize on the other’s weaknesses and control the game tempo. The Jets, with the home advantage and a slightly more resilient defense, seem to have the edge.

In terms of betting, the safer pick might be the Jets, particularly with their -3 spread. However, the Commanders could surprise, given their desperation to salvage their season. The over/under bet is tricky, but with both teams’ offensive struggles, betting the under seems logical. For prop bets, look towards individual player performances, especially the receivers who could make significant plays in crucial moments. As always, in the world of best online betting, surprises are around every corner, making this an intriguing matchup for bettors and fans alike.


Free Pick and Prediction: New York Jets 19, Washington Commanders 16

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