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MLB Betting Prediction: Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox 4/28/2024

Chicago Cubs (15-9) vs. Boston Red Sox (14-11)

As the MLB season unfolds, the upcoming matchup between the Chicago Cubs and the Boston Red Sox is garnering significant attention. Scheduled for a Sunday night showdown on April 28, 2024, at Fenway Park, both teams come into the game with impressive records. The Cubs, standing at 15-9, have shown strong performance on the road, while the Red Sox, just slightly behind with a 14-11 record, are looking to leverage their home field advantage. This game not only highlights a clash of two storied franchises but also serves as a critical point for those involved in expert MLB picks, with both teams pushing towards the top of their respective divisions.

In front of a solid game this year, the Cubs have a team batting average of .246 with a good slugging percentage of .412, driven by 27 home runs and 197 hits. This is reinforced by the pitching staff that is averaging a team ERA of 3.94 and have a WHIP of 1.28. The fact that their pitcher still allows hits does not reduce the fact that their strikeout-to-walk ratio remains powerful, which in the series against the Red Sox could be crucial. They have shown a remarkable consistency on the road with a 9-3 spread record, which illustrates their ability to handle travel and other distractions well.

The Red Sox reflect this with a slightly lower team batting average of .235. On the other hand, they have surpassed the Cubs in home runs, with a total number of 33 and a quality pitching performance with the team ERA of 2.49 which is one of the lowest in the league. Their pitchers have been able to contain the opposition batting down to a .219 average showing they are capable of closing games expertly. The men’s on-base percentage, being .310, though lower than that for the club, has not prevented them from scoring runs and winning their games, especially at home.


Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox Game Info

When: Sunday, April 28, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
Where: Fenway Park
Stream: MLB.TV


Jordan Wicks (1-2 W-L, 4.7 ERA) vs. Tanner Houck (3-2 W-L, 1.65 ERA)

Jordan Wicks of the Cubs stands with a 1-2 win-loss record and a relatively high ERA of 4.7. He has a WHIP of 1.52, which together with 28 strikeouts in 23 innings, conveys both potential and inconsistency. Wick’s walk management and limiting homers skills are paramount, , especially against a powerful team like the Red Sox. The meeting at Fenway, a favorite park for the hitters, may be especially hard for him. Thus the pitching will need to be strictly and the game management will need to be smart.

Tanner Houck of the Red Sox has an outstanding ERA of 1.65 and a WHIP of 0.98 demonstrating his ability to constrain the game and stop the opposition from scoring. He has recorded 32 strikeouts and only 5 walks in 32.2 innings, which shows a high level of skill and calmness on the pitching mound. His performance is going to be crucial for this matchup, possibly being the reason the Red Sox will take the lead with his consistent pitching and limited home runs allowed.


MLB Odds/Point Spread: TBD, Total Odds: TBD

The betting odds and spreads for this game are yet to be determined, but based on the teams’ recent performances and historical competitiveness, sharp bettors will be closely watching the opening lines. Insights into these odds will be crucial for those looking to make informed bets, particularly considering the strengths and recent trends of both teams.


Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

The Cubs would be much ahead of the spread, especially on the road. They have overcome the spread in 9 of the last 12 games played at another venue, which illustrate their toughness and ability to adjust themselves in the away games. Besides, OVER has gone in 6 of their last 12 games at home and perhaps this may tilt the betting trends in favor of this match, especially because of the good score line in Fenway Park.


Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Red Sox, similar to the Cubs, have a good performance against the spread with a record of 11-4 in their road games. They even have better numbers at home, going 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 games showing they have a strong command over their home territory at Fenway Park. Those last OVER occurs more often in their last ten home games’ total.


Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox 4/28/24 Betting Picks

Given the current form and historical data, this game promises to be closely contested. The Cubs’ strong road record and the Red Sox’s formidable home stats make this an intriguing battle. The final pick will largely depend on the day’s conditions and any lineup changes, but the Red Sox, with their superior pitching and home advantage, might just have the edge.

For those betting on this game, considering the OVER on total runs could be wise, given both teams’ tendencies in recent games. Check the top sportsbooks for the best odds close to game day, as they will provide more tailored and potentially profitable betting opportunities.


Free Pick and Prediction: Boston Red Sox 5, Chicago Cubs 3

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