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Bowling Green Falcons vs. Kent State Golden Flashes 11/8/23 NCAAF Week 11 Odds, Picks, and Predictions

Bowling Green Falcons (5-4) vs. Kent State Golden Flashes (1-8)

As the NCAAF enters Week 11, the focus shifts to a Mid-American Conference matchup between the Bowling Green Falcons and the Kent State Golden Flashes. The Falcons, with a standing of 5-4, are set to confront the struggling Golden Flashes, who have managed just one win against eight losses this season. This Wednesday night encounter on November 8, 2023, at Dix Stadium, not only offers an intriguing battle on the field but also serves as a vital touchstone for NCAAF free picks.

Bowling Green’s season has had its share of ups and downs, but with a winning record, they’ve demonstrated enough prowess to be considered the favorites in this matchup. Their key players have been pivotal to their success thus far. Connor Bazelak at the quarterback position has shown a capacity for yardage gains, despite a completion rate that begs for improvement. His passing touchdowns to interceptions ratio suggests he can be a double-edged sword for the Falcons. The backfield support from Terion Stewart is undeniable. With an average of over 6 yards per carry and 8 rushing touchdowns, his dynamism adds a layer of threat to the Falcons’ offense. Wide receiver Odieu Hiliare, though not the most dominant in terms of yardage, provides a reliable option for Bazelak, having snagged a pair of touchdowns on the season.

In stark contrast, Kent State’s season paints a grim picture. With a 1-8 record, the Golden Flashes have been dimmed by almost every opponent they’ve faced. The quarterback, Michael Alaimo, has struggled behind an offensive line that has allowed a deluge of sacks. His 54.9% completion rate and subdued yards per pass attempt reflect a passing game that’s been less than impactful. However, there are sparks in the form of wide receiver Chrishon McCray, who has been a highlight for the Golden Flashes with impressive yards per reception and a team-leading 4 receiving touchdowns. Running back Gavin Garcia’s ground game has been less efficient, but his tenacity cannot be discounted, and he’ll be crucial for Kent State to find any rhythm against the Falcons.


Bowling Green Falcons vs. Kent State Golden Flashes Game Info

When:Wednesday, November 8, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET
Where:Neyland Stadium


Connor Bazelak QB vs. Michael Alaimo QB

Connor Bazelak‘s season overview paints him as a quarterback capable of big plays, with a solid total of passing yards, but one whose decision-making will be under the microscope against Kent State. With a tendency to toss interceptions and take sacks, Bazelak’s performance against the Golden Flashes’ defense, which will be looking for any opportunity to pounce, could determine the Falcons’ offensive success.

On the other side, Michael Alaimo has had a tumultuous season, marred by an onslaught of sacks that has severely hampered his passing efficiency. His sub-55% completion percentage and a modest passer rating point to a challenging year. Alaimo’s struggle against pressure and a tendency for limited yardage on completions are areas the Falcons’ defense will aim to exploit.


NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: Bowling Green Falcons -287, Total Odds: 38.5

The current betting odds place the Falcons as distinct favorites, with a -6.5 point spread reflecting the perceived gap between the teams’ performances this season. The total, set at 38.5, indicates expectations of a relatively low-scoring game, consistent with the offensive challenges both teams have faced.


Bowling Green Falcons Betting Trends

The Falcons’ betting trends showcase a team that has found ways to win games outright but struggles against the spread, particularly against Kent State. The history between these two sides, however, does indicate that Bowling Green has covered well when on the road at Kent State, which may influence betting decisions for this week’s game.


Kent State Golden Flashes Betting Trends

Kent State’s betting trends are a testament to their difficult season, with a glaring inability to cover the spread in their recent games. The total has gone OVER more often than not, but their head-to-head history with Bowling Green reveals a tendency for the total to go UNDER, creating a complex betting landscape.


Bowling Green Falcons vs. Kent State Golden Flashes 11/8/23 Betting Picks

Considering the statistics and trends, the Falcons have the edge, particularly in light of Kent State’s dismal record this season. Bowling Green’s relatively stronger offense should see them through, but the Golden Flashes’ knack for staying within the spread in this particular matchup cannot be overlooked.

When looking at the best pick, it’s sensible to favor the Falcons to win outright, but the spread presents a riskier proposition. With both teams’ propensity for lower-scoring games, the total going UNDER might be a more reliable bet. Bettors should look to the top live betting website for real-time odds and potentially favorable in-game betting opportunities.


Free Pick and Prediction: Bowling Green Falcons 27, Kent State Golden Flashes 17

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