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Boise State Broncos vs. San Diego State Aztecs 9/22/23 NCAAF Week 4 Prediction, Odds, and Analysis

Boise State Broncos (1-2) vs. San Diego State Aztecs (2-2)

On September 22, 2023, Boise State will square off against San Diego State in a high-stakes football battle at David A Harrison III Field at Scott Stadium at 10:30 pm ET and ESPN broadcast. Expect exciting football action as both sides look to improve their season performance. This match, rich in potential for standout plays and unexpected twists, is one that has caught the attention of NCAAF picks analysts and fans alike.

Ashton Jeanty and Eric McAlister stand out amongst Denver Broncos’ offensive weapons as star performers. Jeanty has proven himself unstoppable on the ground, amassing 202 yards rushing and scoring four touchdowns; McAlister adds his aerial prowess with 238 receiving yards along with two touchdown receptions.

On the opposite side of the field, Jaylon Armstead and Mekhi Shaw represent the Aztecs’ dynamic duo. Armstead leads their rushing attack with 195 yards rushed and two touchdowns; Shaw has proven key in their aerial offense by collecting 104 receiving yards and one touchdown thus far.


Boise State Broncos vs. San Diego State Aztecs Game Info

When: Friday, September 22, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET
Where: David A. Harrison III Field at Scott Stadium
Stream: Sofascore


Taylen Green QB vs. Jalen Mayden QB

Taylen Green, Boise State’s quarterback, has displayed considerable skill despite a subpar completion rate of 52.9%. Green has thrown for 576 yards, along with 3 touchdowns, although he has also thrown 4 interceptions. His susceptibility to decision-making errors is a weak point that the Aztecs may look to capitalize on. Despite being sacked twice, Green has demonstrated grit and versatility, particularly with medium-range passes.

Jalen Mayden, quarterback for the Aztecs, exhibits a slightly better performance with a completion rate of 60.3% and 701 passing yards. Mayden’s stats mirror Green’s with 3 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. However, he has been sacked 9 times, showing that he is prone to pressure. His decision-making skills will need to be sharpened to take advantage of their home field.


NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: Boise State Broncos -274, Total Odds: 43.5

The betting market seems to favor Boise State, with a point spread of -8.5 and a moneyline of -274. The total line for this game is set at 43.5, giving bettors options for over or under wagers. Given the recent performances, these odds seem to align with public sentiment. Interestingly, the current line also suggests that oddsmakers are expecting a relatively low-scoring affair, which aligns with both teams’ recent trends of games going under. For bettors interested in prop bets, attention could be paid to player-specific performances, like Taylen Green’s passing yards or Jaylon Armstead’s rushing yards, to add another layer of strategy to their wagers.


Boise State Broncos Betting Trends

The Broncos are doing well with a 9-4 Straight Up (SU) in their last 13 games. However, they’ve faced difficulties against the Aztecs, marking a 2-6 Against The Spread (ATS) in their last 8 matchups. On their away games, the total has fallen under in 10 of their last 12 matches. Furthermore, they have an 8-1 SU record in their last nine Mountain West conference games.


San Diego State Aztecs Betting Trends

The Aztecs, meanwhile, have seen their total fall under in 4 of their last 6 games. Their form has been inconsistent, recording a 2-4 SU and ATS in their past 6 matches. However, they have had some success at home, with the total falling under in 7 of their last 9 games. Their Mountain West conference record stands at a respectable 13-5 SU in their last 18 games.


Boise State Broncos vs. San Diego State Aztecs 9/22/23 Betting Picks

After analyzing key players, venue factors, and betting trends, it appears that the Boise State Broncos have a slight edge. Nonetheless, their historical performance against the Aztecs keeps the outcome in the balance. Prop bets on Ashton Jeanty for his rushing performance and Eric McAlister for his receiving yards might add some extra thrills and potential wins.

Given the betting odds and team trends, wagering on the under 43.5 seems like a prudent move in the realm of best sports betting, although both teams will certainly aim to put points on the board.

Free Pick and Prediction: Boise State 27, San Diego State 16

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