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Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians 9/24/23 MLB Odds, Picks, and Predictions

Baltimore Orioles (95-58) vs. Cleveland Guardians (73-81)

As the 2023 MLB season rapidly approaches its climax, the Baltimore Orioles and the Cleveland Guardians square off this Sunday. Currently sporting an impressive 95-58 record, the Orioles fly into Progressive Field to face the Guardians, who are sitting at 73-81. As always, we provide you with free baseball picks and analysis for this enticing matchup.

Orioles pitcher Chris Tillman has been one of the game’s standout performers this season with an outstanding 0.257 batting average, notching 778 runs and 180 homers along with an on-base percentage of 0.322 and slugging percentage of 0.428 that signal an aggressive approach at bat that many opponents find hard to counteract. His on-base percentage and slugging percentage indicate a team consistently setting themselves up to score.

The Guardians may trail in the standings, but don’t underestimate them! Their batting average of 0.250 is impressive and while their home run total of 117 may not compare favorably with Orioles’ 180 homers, other stats reflect an excellent team. Their ERA of 3.9 indicates stronger pitching performance while their defense remains just as reliable (compared with Orioles opponent batting average of 0.245).


Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians Game Info

When: Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 1:40 PM ET
Where: Progressive Field
Stream MLB.TV


Kyle Gibson (14-9 W-L, 5 ERA) vs. Zack Littell (0-1 W-L, 4.5 ERA)

Gibson, the Orioles’ starting pitcher, boasts a record of 14-9, showing his capability to win games when it matters most. However, his 5 ERA indicates a vulnerability that opponents have occasionally capitalized on. With 186 hits given up over 180 innings pitched, Gibson’s strength seems to lie in his experience and stamina. His 149 strikeouts against 53 walks show a pitcher who often controls the narrative but has been prone to errors at times.

On the other side, the Guardians’ choice, Zack Littell, has a limited record this season, showing an 0-1 W-L and 4.5 ERA. Over 10 innings pitched, he has given up 8 hits. The ratio of 4.5 strikeouts to 4 walks indicates a pitcher who might still be finding his rhythm. The data on Littell’s 53 home runs seems to be a potential outlier and might need verification.


MLB Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore Orioles -105, Total Odds: 8

Considering the current odds, the Orioles, despite their superior standing, are not overwhelming favorites. This makes the game all the more intriguing for bettors, suggesting a closely fought contest.


Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

Historically, Baltimore seems to have had challenges against Cleveland, being 5-11 SU in their last 16 encounters. However, their recent road games have mostly seen totals going OVER, with 11 out of the last 14 crossing the threshold. Contrarily, when playing on the road against Cleveland, the total has typically stayed UNDER in 5 out of the last 6 matchups. Baltimore boasts a solid 13-7 SU in their last 20 games against American League opponents and a 7-3 SU against the American League Central Division.


Cleveland Guardians Betting Trends

The Guardians have had a shaky run lately, with a 2-4 SU in their last 6 games. Interestingly, their recent encounters with Baltimore have seen the total go UNDER in 7 of the last 10 games. Cleveland, however, comes into this game with home advantage and a promising 6-1 SU in their last 7 home games. Against American League East Division teams, they’re 5-2 SU.


Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians 9/24/23 Betting Picks

Given the statistics and trends at hand, this promises to be a nail-biter. While Baltimore holds the upper hand in the season standings, Cleveland’s historical advantage and current home form pose a genuine threat. It’s crucial to note the importance of the starting pitchers in this matchup, as Gibson’s experience contrasts sharply with Littell’s limited season play. This could be the defining factor in the outcome, potentially swinging the game in Baltimore’s favor.

Considering recent performances and the odds presented by top online casinos, a safe bet might be leaning towards an UNDER on the total. Given Baltimore’s firepower and Cleveland’s resilience, a scoreline around 4-3, favoring Baltimore, seems plausible.

Free Pick and Prediction: Baltimore Orioles 4, Cleveland Guardians 3

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