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Austin Lingo vs Melquizael Costa 7/15/2023 Predictions, Free Picks and Odds

Austin Lingo vs Melquizael Costa 7/15/2023 Predictions, Free Picks and Odds

On Saturday, July 15, 2023, Melquizael Costa and Austin Lingo will square off at UFC Vegas 77. Lingo is projected to open at +185, while Costa is projected to open at -225.

Austin Lingo

With a 9-2-0 record, Austin “Lights Out” Lingo enters the Octagon. The 29-year-old is 5’10” tall and weighs 145 pounds. The conventional fighter extends 70.” Melquizael “Melk Cauthy” Costa is a 5’10” 145-pound man. The Southpaw boxer aims to improve on his 19-6-0 career record. 26-year-old possesses a 71-inch reach. Melquizael Costa connects on 2.53 significant strikes per minute, compared to Austin Lingo’s 4.21 significant strikes per minute. Costa makes 46% of his essential blows connect, compared to Lingo’s 40%. “Lights Out” permits 4.36 major strikes per minute, but “Melk Cauthy” only allows 2.42 regarding self-defense. Additionally, Lingo blocks 58% of the decisive blows that his opponents deliver, compared to 33% for Costa.

Standing 5’10” and weighing 145 pounds, Austin Lingo is a skilled featherweight boxer. Lingo stands in the Octagon with a traditional stance and a reach of 70 inches. Lingo, born July 10, 1994, has amassed impressive stats throughout his career. His significant striking accuracy (Str.Acc.) is 40%, and his considerable exceptional rate (SLpM) average is 4.21. Lingo sports an effective strike defense (Str.Def.) rate of 58% and can withstand an average of 4.36 significant strikes per minute (SApM). Lingo has a takedown accuracy (TDAcc.) of 66% and a takedown defense (TDDef.) rate of 78%. On average, 0.55 takedowns are landed per 15 minutes (TDAvg.). His current submission average (Sub.Avg.) is 0.0. Lingo met Nate Landwehr in his most recent bout, which he lost by decision. Before that, he defeated Luis Saldana by unanimous decision. Lingo has had a mixed record throughout his career, with major victories coming over Jacob Kilburn and Youssef Zalal.

Austin Lingo is the more skillful wrestler since he submits his opponents to the mat 0.55 times in three rounds. In 66% of his tries, Lingo brings his opponent to the ground, while in 78% of his opponents’ attempted takedowns, he successfully defends. Compared to his opponents, Costa stuffs 42% of their attempted takedowns while completing 15% of his own. Lingo is the least competent of the two fighters in going for the sub, attempting 0.4 finishes per three rounds, compared to Costa, who aims for 0.7 finishes every three games.

Austin Lingo faced off against Nate Landwehr in his previous fight, which he lost by rear naked choke in round two. Ultimately, Landwehr delivered 68 of the 160 blows he threw throughout that match. Fifty of his 148 total blows were successful as Lingo prevailed in this battle. Landwehr ultimately completed 64 of 153 critical attacks, for a rate of 41%. Of the 104 important head blows he made, 36 were successful. Lingo threw 146 crucial blows, landing 48 on the other side of the cage, or 32%. He hit the head on 28 out of 116 attempts, a high accuracy rate for essential blows. Landwehr carried out 95% of its major strikes at a distance, and Lingo connected 100%.

Melquizael Costa last faced Thiago Moises, and in round two of their matchup, the latter was defeated via rear-naked choke. Costa landed 91% of the significant strikes he attempted from a distance, but Moises only managed to land 50% of the decisive blows he took. Costa landed 23 out of 50 big strikes, or 46% of his attempts. He only managed to hit on two of the 19 critical headshots. Moises ultimately connected on 22 of his 33 big swings in the match. He ultimately connected with 14 of 25 strikes intended for the head out of those critical strikes. When comparing the total strikes thrown in this bout, Moises finished with a connection rate of 45 out of 58, while Costa had a connection rate of 43 out of 71.

Austin Lingo vs Melquizael Costa 7/15/2023 Predictions, Free Picks and Odds

Melquizael Costa

The featherweight boxer Melquizael Costa, commonly known as “Melk Cauthy,” is 5’10” and weighs 145 lbs. He employs a southpaw stance and has a reach of 71 inches. Costa, born September 14, 1996, has a distinguished professional background. With a paramount striking accuracy of 46%, Costa’s significant strikes landed per minute (SLpM) average is 2.53. His effective strike defense (Str. Def) is 33%, while his major strike absorption rate (SApM) is 2.42. 

Costa presently has a takedown average of 0 every 15 minutes (TDAvg. ), a takedown accuracy of 0 percent (TDAcc. ), and a takedown defense rate of 42% (TDDef.). His current submission average (Sub.Avg.) is 0.0. In his most recent fight, Costa faced Thiago Moises, losing to the Brazilian by fourth-round submission. He battled against Hill before that match and won via rear-naked choke submission. Fans can anticipate an exciting and fiercely contested encounter as Austin Lingo and Melquizael Costa get ready to square off in the Octagon. 

Observing how the opposing fighting styles interact will be interesting since each combatant possesses particular strengths and abilities. Will Costa’s defensive strategies match Lingo’s precise strikes and takedowns? Or will Costa’s proficiency with submissions be the winning formula? In this intriguing featherweight clash, only time will tell.

Austin Lingo vs. Melquizael Costa. Austin Lingo has demonstrated greater consistency and success in his career after examining both fighters’ history, statistics, and recent performances. Lingo is a formidable opponent with a 9-2-0 record who has demonstrated good striking precision and takedown defense. Melquizael Costa, on the other side, has a record of 19-6-0 but has shown significant strike defense and less accurate attacking. Costa has a weak grappling style, with average takedowns and middling defense. Given these considerations, Austin Lingo (Moneyline) is the preferred candidate for this matchup.

Prediction: Austin Lingo +175

Location: UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada

Date: Saturday, July 15, 2023

Main Card: 10:00 PM ET

Prelims: 6:00 PM ET

Watch on: ESPN and ESPN+


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