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Atlanta Falcons vs Miami Dolphins 8/11/2023 Expert Picks, Tips and Odds

Miami Dolphins (9-8 last year) vs Atlanta Falcons (7-10 last season)

Atlanta Falcons vs Miami Dolphins 8/11/2023 — One of the numerous new players Atlanta brought in during the summer was safety Jessie Bates III, but it looks doubtful that Bates III will play much against the Dolphins on Friday. Bijan Robinson, the main running back for Atlanta, had a strong preseason but is unlikely to practice much on Friday. With an average of 159.9 yards per game, they had the third-highest offensive ground possession in the NFL. The Atlanta Falcons were scoring 21.5 points each game.

With a 364.5-yard average, the Miami Dolphins ranked sixth in football. They generated 1,686 total rushing yards while limiting rivals to an average of 99.2 per game. With 881 yards in penalties for 111 infractions, the Miami offense ended fourth in the league regarding the number of free yards given up. Despite throwing 15 interceptions and dropping 6 fumbles, they still achieved 220 first downs. The Dolphins passed for 4,511 yards in the air overall and averaged 265.4 passing yards per game, good for fourth-best in football. The Dolphins were 11th among all clubs in the league in terms of points scored with an average of 23.4 per game.

Atlanta Falcons vs Miami Dolphins Game Info

Time: 7:00 PM ET

Date: Friday, August 11, 2023

Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, FL

TV Channel: CBS

Atlanta QB Desmond Ridder and Miami QB Tua Tagovailoa

All eyes will be on the quarterback position in 2023 when Atlanta completely enters the Desmond Ridder era. Last year, Ridder accomplished a final record of 2-2, 708 throw yards, and two touchdowns. This season, he will benefit from the acquisition of No. 8 overall pick Bijan Robinson, and with Kyle Pitts and Drake London back on the field, the receiving corps is looking good. On the scoreboard, any good synergy between Ridder and Pitts would be very beneficial.

Before the 2023 season, Miami’s biggest uncertainty will be star quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. After sustaining two significant concussions in rapid succession, his future wellness and the team’s performance were clearly in doubt. Miami is 23-13 with Tagovailoa at quarterback compared to 5-9 without him. If Miami can quickly get used to the new DC Vic Fangio, they should have a strong defensive season. This team, anchored by Bradley Chubb and Jaelan Philips, still has a ton of talent, even with Jalen Ramsey (knee) out for a while.

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta Falcons -2.5 Total Odds: 35.5

The total went OVER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 6 matches on the road against Miami. The total stayed UNDER in 4 of Atlanta’s last 5 games with a team in the AFC. Atlanta is 3-16 SU in their last 19 matches against an AFC East opponent. The Falcons are 3-17 ATS in their last 20 matches played in August.

Atlanta Falcons Betting Trends

  • The Atlanta Falcons are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games. 
  • The total remained UNDER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 6 matches. 
  • The Falcons are 3-6 SU in their last 9 outings. 
  • Atlanta is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 matches against the Dolphins. 
  • The team is 1-7 SU in their last 8 games against Miami.

Miami Dolphins Betting Trends

  • The Miami Dolphins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. 
  • The Dolphins are 1-6 SU in their last 7 matches. 
  • The total hung OVER in 5 of Miami’s last 6 matches with the Falcons. 
  • The total stayed UNDER in 7 of the Falcons’ last 8 home matches. 
  • The total went OVER in 5 of Miami’s last 6 home matches with Atlanta.

Atlanta Falcons vs Miami Dolphins Betting Trends 

Atlanta Falcons vs Miami Dolphins: Since Xavien Howard will start at one corner for the Miami Dolphins against Atlanta on Friday, their whole defense will benefit from the competition for one of the two starting quarterback spots this preseason. Miami’s offense starters are not expected to see a lot of action, in contrast to Atlanta, which will have numerous starters for the first few games as several players fight for starting places on both sides of the ball.

The Falcons have a 0-6 SU record in their previous six road games. In their previous five games against opponents from the National Football Conference, the Miami Dolphins are 1-4 ATS. In their previous 10 games against opponents from the National Football Conference South, the Miami Dolphins are 8-2 ATS. The Miami Dolphins have a 4-1 SU record in their previous five games in August. The Miami Dolphins have a 1-4 SU record in their previous five games on Friday.

Free Pick and Prediction: Miami Dolphins will win 21-14.


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