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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning 4/29/2023 Expert Picks, Tips and Odds

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning 4/29/2023 Expert Picks, Tips and Odds

East 1st Round – Game 6, TOR leads series 3-2

The Maple Leafs will try to end their series against the Lightning on Saturday at the Amalie Center. The Maple Leafs are coming off a tough 4-2 loss against the Lightning at Scotiabank Arena. Despite this hiccup, the Maple Leafs are still in a good spot, but they are mindful of the first-round jinx that has haunted them for nearly two decades. The Maple Leafs had an opportunity to finish the series at home in Game 5 but were denied by Andrei Vasilevskiy. 

Toronto still has a 3-2 series lead and hopes to seal the deal here to avoid going back home for a Game 7. The team leads the league in goals for in the postseason with an average of 4.20 goals per game. The Maple Leafs are tied for 14th in the playoffs in goals against with four goals per game and stand tied for 4th in the league in power play efficiency with a 31.6% conversion rate this postseason. The Maple Leafs are tied for 10th place in penalty-killing with a 73.7% success rate this postseason.

  • The total hung OVER in 10 of Toronto’s last 10 games on the road against Tampa Bay.
  • Toronto are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference.
  • The total went OVER in 5 of Toronto’s last 6 games with a team from the Atlantic Division. 

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning 4/29/2023 Expert Picks, Tips and Odds

The Tampa Bay Lightning ready to strike in game six. The Lightning came out strong in game five, winning on the road to take a 3-2 series lead over the Maple Leafs. While they had a 3-1 series lead and let it slip away in game four, the Lightning are still in the driver’s seat and feeling confident heading into game six on home ice. The Lightning’s success in recent years is no fluke, and they have been demonstrating their skill and tenacity throughout this series.

Offensively, the Lightning have been one of the most potent teams in the playoffs, averaging four goals per game, which is tied for second in the league. However, their defense has been a bit shaky, allowing an average of 4.20 goals per game, which is 16th in the league. Their power play has been effective, scoring on 26.3% of their chances, which is seventh in the league. The Lightning’s penalty kill has been decent, successfully killing off 68.4% of their penalties, which is tied for 12th in the league.

  • The total went OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay’s last 5 games with a team from the Eastern.
  • Tampa Bay are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Division.
  • Tampa Bay are 14-6 SU in their last 20 games played on a Saturday.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Tampa Bay Lightning. The NHL Pick for this contest is Toronto Maple Leafs. The Toronto Maple Leafs’ fans are ready to celebrate the end of a long drought as their team is poised to advance to the second round. The franchise and its faithful followers have been craving this moment for what feels like forever. Prediction: Toronto Maple Leafs win 4-3.

NHL Starting Time: 7:00 PM ET

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

Date: Saturday, April 29, 2023                                                                          


NHL Odds/Point Spread: Toronto Maple Leafs -110          

NHL Totals: 6.5

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