On Sunday, the Patriots will do their best to make it to seven wins in a row when they take on the Lions at home. Sportsbook software services saw New England and Arizona win six consecutive meetings, and Detroit could end up losing two straight games after they lost 14-6 last Sunday to the Cardinals as the favorites on the road by one point.
The betting line opened with the Patriots as the favorites by 5.5 points. 48 was the total.
Last week, the Lions had problems with their offense, but their defense did a good enough job for the majority of the meeting, and was able to score two TD’s after the first quarter. Detroit are also leading the league in their running defense, as on the ground just 68.8 yards were allowed per game.
That’s good for a Patriots side that saw RB Jonas Gray record 199 yards and score four TD’s on Sunday night when they thrashed the Colts 42-20.
If New England don’t perform as well when running the ball, QB Tom Brady will get additional pressure, and the player tends to be at his top level when the team’s offence is more balanced.
In the last 10 meetings that they played as the favorites at home, the Patriots are 7-3 ATS, and they appeared to do a great job on the field besides a small setback on Week 7, when they took on the Jets. Without this game in the mix, New England were able to win five other meetings during their winning run of six games by a margin of almost 23 points scored on average.
Gray’s rise as a strong physical runner is just what was needed by the team. This lets Brady mix things better in the Patriots’ passing game, instead of allowing other teams to just focus on him – something that lets the player react to the direction where the ball will be thrown.
The Lions’ problems while playing away from home cannot be ignored, as they’re only 3-8-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings as the dogs on the road. Detroit are also 2-5 SU and ATS in their last seven games against the Patriots.
On the other hand, New England recently pounded the Colts on the road, and over and over again they proved that they could be the NFL’s top team when it comes to making a proper game plan. Last week, the Patriots’ secondary was able to shut down Indianapolis in their aerial game, and sportsbook software services believe that when they take on the Lions at home they will most likely do something very similar.
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